期刊
AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL-MACROECONOMICS
卷 13, 期 1, 页码 299-332出版社
AMER ECONOMIC ASSOC
DOI: 10.1257/mac.20170105
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The prospects for long-run economic growth are uncertain, with concerns over factors such as resource depletion, overpopulation, climate change potentially hindering and even reversing economic growth.
What are the prospects for long-run economic growth? One prominent line of economic thinking is the trend toward stagnation. Stagnationism has a long history in economics, beginning prominently with Malthus and occasionally surfacing in different guises. Prominent themes here are the following: Will economic growth slow and perhaps even reverse under the weight of resource depletion? Will overpopulation and diminishing returns lower living standards? Will unchecked CO2 emissions lead to catastrophic changes in climate and human systems? Have we depleted the store of potential great inventions? Will the aging society lead to diminished innovativeness?
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