期刊
JOURNAL OF CENTRAL BANKING THEORY AND PRACTICE
卷 10, 期 1, 页码 203-226出版社
SCIENDO
DOI: 10.2478/jcbtp-2021-0010
关键词
DSGE model; Macroeconomic forecast; Monetary policy; Fisher effect; Africa
This paper examines the ability of the Fisher effect to describe the subjective behavior of monetary policy responses in nations constrained by global factors, using a simple DSGE model. The study integrates the Fisher effect theory into the New Keynesian DSGE model with global predictors to describe national monetary policy responses and their impact on domestic financial variables and macroeconomic fundamentals. Simulations show that the presence of global factors threatens the abilities of national monetary policy to predict financial variables and macroeconomic fundamentals in their respective economies.
In this paper, we examine the ability of Fisher effect to describe the subjective behaviour of monetary policy responses for nations constrained by global factors. We developed and estimated a simple DSGE model for appraising the consequence of an integrated financial market predictor on national monetary policy response in Africa's largest economies - Nigeria and South Africa. The paper integrated the theoretical intuition of the famous Fisher effect on the New Keynesian DSGE model with global predictors to describe national monetary policy response as it influence domestic financial variables and macroeconomic fundamentals. Simulations show that the existence of global factors threatens the abilities of national monetary policy to predict financial variables and macroeconomic fundamentals in their economies.
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