4.2 Article

Can millennials access homeownership in urban China?

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SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s10901-019-09672-0

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Millennials; Ownership; Housing market; Hukou; Cohorts

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With China's emergence as a global market economy, the housing market has undergone significant transformation with a growing middle class striving for the Chinese Dream of car, apartment, and family. The behavior of young adults entering the urban housing market is influenced by various factors such as income, parental economic transfers, and government policies. While there are generational differences in homeownership patterns, overall the shift towards a homeownership society in China has been largely successful.
In the past three decades the Chinese housing market has been profoundly transformed as China emerged as a world market economy. Now, a growing middle class is pursuing the Chinese Dream-a car, an apartment and a family. While there is substantial research on the Chinese economy and studies of housing in individual cities, we know less about the behavior of the youngest cohorts who are now entering the homeowner market. How do young adults (the Chinese Millennial generation) enter the urban housing market? Using new national surveys of China Household Finance, we ask the questions, (a) is the process of homeownership available for all? Are young adults in urban China able to access the Chinese dream of ownership? (b) what is the variation in access to ownership across dimensions of sociodemographic and institutional status? and, (c) how do parental transfers impact the ownership trajectory? The analysis confirms anecdotal studies that ownership is high even for those born in the 1980s. As expected, income and assets are important explanations of ownership as is parental economic transfers. However, the institutional structure of housing reform and government policies in China continue to play an important role. Furthermore, there are important differences between the 1970 cohort in contrast to the 1980s and 1990s cohort. Although there is a growing rental sector, overall the Chinese shift to a homeownership society is still largely successful.

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