4.7 Article

Do weather extremes induce people to move? Evidence from Vietnam

期刊

ECONOMIC ANALYSIS AND POLICY
卷 69, 期 -, 页码 118-141

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ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2020.11.009

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Weather extremes; Climate change; Migration; Households; Population census; Vietnam

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This study investigates the impact of extreme weather events on inter-province migration in Vietnam. High rainfall extremes lead to out-migration of highly educated individuals while attracting poorly educated individuals for in-migration. Low temperature extremes have varying effects on migration in different provinces.
This study examines the effect of extreme weather events on inter-province migration in Vietnam using a migration gravity model. It finds that high rainfall extremes encourage the out-migration of highly educated people but attracts the in-migration of the poorly educated. A possible reason is that high rainfall increases household income from agricultural production but reduces wage income. Thus, high rainfall extremes increase the migration of the highly educated, who mainly have salaried jobs, while attracting the poorly educated, who are mainly self-employed in agricultural work. Low temperature extremes in source provinces reduce out-migration, while low temperature extremes in destination provinces increase in-migr ation, possibly because very hot weather reduces wages and affect people's health, and as a result influences migration. (c) 2020 Economic Society of Australia, Queensland. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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