Model-driven mitigation measures for reopening schools during the COVID-19 pandemic

Reopening schools is an urgent priority as the COVID-19 pandemic drags on. To explore the risks associated with returning to in-person learning and the value of mitigation measures, we developed stochastic, network-based models of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission in primary and secondary schools. We find that a number of mitigation measures, alone or in concert, may reduce risk to acceptable levels. Student cohorting, in which students are divided into two separate populations that attend in-person classes on alternating schedules, can reduce both the likelihood and the size of outbreaks. Proactive testing of teachers and staff can help catch introductions early, before they spread widely through the school. In secondary schools, where the students are more susceptible to infection and have different patterns of social interaction, control is more difficult. Especially in these settings, planners should also consider testing students once or twice weekly. Vaccinating teachers and staff protects these individuals and may have a protective effect on students as well. Other mitigations, including mask wearing, social distancing, and increased ventilation, remain a crucial component of any reopening plan.

Automated summary

Research indicates that measures such as student cohorting, proactive testing of teachers and staff, and weekly testing of students can effectively reduce the risk of COVID-19 transmission in schools. Controlling outbreaks in secondary schools, where students are more susceptible to infection and have different social interaction patterns, poses greater challenges. Additionally, other mitigation strategies like mask wearing, social distancing, and improved ventilation remain crucial components of any reopening plan.