期刊
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
卷 12, 期 3, 页码 -出版社
IOP PUBLISHING LTD
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa5ef1
关键词
fire; forest models; forest productivity-disturbances-climate change interactions; insects; storms; trade-offs
资金
- Seventh Framework Program of the EC [226544]
- German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) [01LS1201A1]
- strategic research programme KBIV 'Sustainable spatial development of ecosystems, landscapes, seas and regions' - Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs
- Knowledge Base project Resilient Forests [KB-29-009-003]
- Austrian Science Fund FWF through START grant [Y895-B25]
- Academy of Finland for FORBIO project [14970]
- CEF research Centre [UID/AGR/00239/2013]
- Rafael O Wuest
- Swiss Science Foundation SNF [40FA40_158395]
- MINECO [RYC-2011-08983, RYC-2013-14262, AGL2015-67293-R]
- CERCA Programme/Generalitat de Catalunya
- Swiss National Science Foundation (SNF) [40FA40_158395] Funding Source: Swiss National Science Foundation (SNF)
Recent studies projecting future climate change impacts on forests mainly consider either the effects of climate change on productivity or on disturbances. However, productivity and disturbances are intrinsically linked because 1) disturbances directly affect forest productivity (e.g. via a reduction in leaf area, growing stock or resource-use efficiency), and 2) disturbance susceptibility is often coupled to a certain development phase of the forest with productivity determining the time a forest is in this specific phase of susceptibility. The objective of this paper is to provide an overview of forest productivity changes in different forest regions in Europe under climate change, and partition these changes into effects induced by climate change alone and by climate change and disturbances. We present projections of climate change impacts on forest productivity from state-of-the-art forest models that dynamically simulate forest productivity and the effects of the main European disturbance agents (fire, storm, insects), driven by the same climate scenario in seven forest case studies along a large climatic gradient throughout Europe. Our study shows that, in most cases, including disturbances in the simulations exaggerate ongoing productivity declines or cancel out productivity gains in response to climate change. In fewer cases, disturbances also increase productivity or buffer climate-change induced productivity losses, e.g. because low severity fires can alleviate resource competition and increase fertilization. Even though our results cannot simply be extrapolated to other types of forests and disturbances, we argue that it is necessary to interpret climate change-induced productivity and disturbance changes jointly to capture the full range of climate change impacts on forests and to plan adaptation measures.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据