期刊
ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE
卷 122, 期 -, 页码 -出版社
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.06.018
关键词
Cellular automata; Direct payments; Fresh water supply; NetLogo; Regulation; Soil and Water Assessment Tool
类别
资金
- Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) at the University of Bayreuth, Germany [GRK 1565/1]
- Korean Research Foundation (KRF) at the Kangwon National University, Chuncheon, South Korea
Integrated model systems that simulate land use and land cover change (LUCC) and associated changes of ecosystem services (ES) are increasingly important for supporting policies and management decisions. However, only few model frameworks exist that consider policy options as drivers of future LUCC and ES simultaneously. We present a modeling procedure that predicts policy-induced LUCC and ES through a combination of cellular automata (CA) and the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). We employed this procedure to assess the efficiency of alternative policy instruments including direct payments and command-and-control regulations in mountain watersheds of South Korea. Our approach successfully captures spatial patterns of LUCC, hydrological processes, and the associated gains and losses in ES as well as potential negative externalities (leakage effects). Our modeling procedure provides an informative and robust basis for the development of decision support systems for mountain watersheds, where water provision and regulation are of particular concern. (c) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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