期刊
ENVIRONMENTAL EARTH SCIENCES
卷 76, 期 22, 页码 -出版社
SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s12665-017-7133-4
关键词
Land use/land cover; Change detection; Cellular automata; Markov chain; Upper Narmada basin
资金
- Ministry of Human Resources and Development (MHRD), Government of India
Historical and exact information about the land use/land cover change is very important for regional sustainable development. The aim of this paper is to determine the rapid changes in land use/land cover (LULC) pattern due to agriculture expansion, environmental calamities such as flood and government policies over Upper Narmada basin, India. Multi-temporal Landsat satellite images for years 1990, 2000, 2010 and 2015 were used to analyze and monitor the changes in LULC with an overall accuracy of more than 85%. Results revealed a potential decrease in natural vegetation (-9.52%) due to the expansion of settlement (+ 0.52%) and cropland (+ 9.43%) from 1990 to 2015. In the present study, Cellular Automata and Markov (CA-Markov), an integrated tool was used to project the short-term LULC map of year 2030. The projected LULC ( 2030) indicated the expansion of built-up area along with the cropland and degradation in the vegetation area. The outcomes from the study can help as a guiding tool for protection of natural vegetation and the management of the built-up area. Additionally, it will help in devising the strategies to utilize every bit of land in the study area for decision makers.
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