Sector connectedness in the Chinese stock markets

Uncovering the risk-transmitting path within economic sectors in China is crucial for understanding the stability of the Chinese economic system, especially under the current situation of the China-US trade conflicts. In this paper, we aim to uncover the risk spreading channels by means of volatility spillovers within the Chinese sectors using stock market data. By applying the generalized variance decomposition framework based on the VAR model and the rolling window approach, a set of connectedness matrices is obtained to reveal the overall and dynamic spillovers within sectors. We find that 17 sectors (mechanical equipment, electrical equipment, utilities, and so on) are risk transmitters and 11 sectors (national defense, bank, non-bank finance, and so on) are risk takers during the whole period. Under the extreme risk events (i.e., the global financial crisis, the Chinese interbank liquidity crisis, the Chinese stock market crash, and the China-US trade war), the connectedness measures significantly increase and the financial sectors play a buffer role in stabilizing the economic system. Our results are robust to changes of the model parameters. Our study not only uncovers the spillover effects within the Chinese sectors, but also highlights the deep understanding of the risk contagion patterns in the Chinese stock markets.

Automated summary

This study reveals the risk-transmitting pathways within different economic sectors in China, identifying sectors that act as risk transmitters and risk takers. It also shows that during extreme risk events, such as the global financial crisis and the China-US trade war, the financial sectors play a crucial role in stabilizing the economic system.