4.6 Article

Estimation method of mixture distribution and modeling of COVID-19 pandemic

期刊

AIMS MATHEMATICS
卷 7, 期 6, 页码 9926-9956

出版社

AMER INST MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES-AIMS
DOI: 10.3934/math.2022554

关键词

mixture model; least square estimation; Mills Ratio; weighted least square estimation

资金

  1. King Khalid University, Abha, Saudi Arabia [RGP.2/120/42]

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This study discusses the mathematical characteristics of the Lindley model mixed with 2-component (2-CMLM) and investigates its practical and theoretical aspects. Various statistical features are examined, and the proposed 2-CMLM is shown to outperform other models in modelling COVID-19 patient data.
The mathematical characteristics of the mixture of Lindley model with 2-component (2-CMLM) are discussed. In this paper, we investigate both the practical and theoretical aspects of the 2-CMLM. We investigate several statistical features of the mixed model like probability generating function, cumulants, characteristic function, factorial moment generating function, mean time to failure, Mills Ratio, mean residual life. The density, hazard rate functions, mean, coefficient of variation, skewness, and kurtosis are all shown graphically. Furthermore, we use appropriate approaches such as maximum likelihood, least square and weighted least square methods to estimate the pertinent parameters of the mixture model. We use a simulation study to assess the performance of suggested methods. Eventually, modelling COVID-19 patient data demonstrates the effectiveness and utility of the 2-CMLM. The proposed model outperformed the two component mixture of exponential model as well as two component mixture of Weibull model in practical applications, indicating that it is a good candidate distribution for modelling COVID-19 and other related data sets.

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