4.7 Article

Description of historical and future projection simulations by the global coupled E3SMv1.0 model as used in CMIP6

期刊

GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT
卷 15, 期 9, 页码 3941-3967

出版社

COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-15-3941-2022

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资金

  1. E3SM project - Office of Biological and Environmental Research in the US Department of Energy's Office of Science
  2. US Department of Energy Office of Science User Facility located at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory [DE-AC02-05CH11231]
  3. US Department of Energy by LLNL [DE-AC52-07NA27344.LLNL-JRNL-826361]
  4. DOE [DEAC05-76RLO1830]

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This paper presents the experimental setup and general characteristics of the US Department of Energy's Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SMv1.0) in coupled historical and future climate simulations. The study focuses on the regional responses of atmosphere, ocean, sea ice, and land in the highest emission scenario (SSP5-8.5) designed in the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMlP). The results show that E3SMv1.0 exhibits high surface warming and significant changes in precipitation, runoff, and sea ice in the future projection period.
This paper documents the experimental setup and general features of the coupled historical and future climate simulations with the first version of the US Department of Energy (DOE) Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SMv1.0). The future projected climate characteristics of E3SMv1.0 at the highest emission scenario (SSP5-8.5) designed in the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMlP) and the SSP5-8.5 greenhouse gas (GHG) only forcing experiment are analyzed with a focus on regional responses of atmosphere, ocean, sea ice, and land. Due to its high equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS of 5.3 K), E3SMv1.0 is one of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) models with the largest surface warming by the end of the 21st century under the high-emission SSP5-8.5 scenario. The global mean precipitation change is highly correlated with the global temperature change, while the spatial pattern of the change in runoff is consistent with the precipitation changes. The oceanic mixed layer generally shoals throughout the global ocean. The annual mean Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is overly weak with a slower change from similar to 11 to similar to 6 Sv (Sverdrup) relative to other CMIP6 models. The sea ice, especially in the Northern Hemisphere, decreases rapidly with large seasonal variability. We detect a significant polar amplification in E3SMv1.0 from the atmosphere, ocean, and sea ice. Comparing the SSP5-8.5 all-forcing experiment with the GHG-only experiment, we find that the unmasking of the aerosol effects due to the decline of the aerosol loading in the future projection period causes transient accelerated warm ing in the all-forcing experiment in the first half of the 21st century. While the oceanic climate response is mainly controlled by the GHG forcing, the land runoff response is impacted primarily by forcings other than GHG over certain regions, e.g., southern North America, southern Africa, central Africa, and eastern Asia. However, the importance of the GHG forcing on the land runoff changes grows in the future climate projection period compared to the historical period.

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