Remaining Useful Life Estimation of Cooling Units via Time-Frequency Health Indicators with Machine Learning

Predictive Maintenance (PM) strategies have gained interest in the aviation industry to reduce maintenance costs and Aircraft On Ground (AOG) time. Taking advantage of condition monitoring data from aircraft systems, Prognostics and Health Maintenance (PHM) practitioners have been predicting the life span of aircraft components by applying Remaining Useful Life (RUL) concepts. Additionally, in prognostics, the construction of Health Indicators (HIs) plays a significant role when failure advent patterns are strenuous to be discovered directly from data. HIs are typically supported by data-driven models dealing with non-stationary signals, e.g., aircraft sensor time-series, in which data transformations from time and frequency domains are required. In this paper, we build time-frequency HIs based on the construction of the Hilbert spectrum and propose the integration of a physics-based model with a data-driven model to predict the RUL of aircraft cooling units. Using data from a major airline, and considering two health degradation stages, the advent of failures on aircraft systems can be estimated with data-driven Machine Learning models (ML). Specifically, our results reveal that the analyzed cooling units experience a normal degradation stage before an abnormal degradation that emerges within the last flight hours of useful life.

Automated summary

Predictive Maintenance (PM) strategies are of interest in the aviation industry to reduce maintenance costs and Aircraft On Ground (AOG) time. This paper proposes the integration of a physics-based model with a data-driven model to predict the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of aircraft cooling units. The results show that the cooling units experience a normal degradation stage before an abnormal degradation that occurs within the last flight hours of useful life.