4.5 Review

Principles of risk decision-making

出版社

TAYLOR & FRANCIS INC
DOI: 10.1080/10937404.2022.2107591

关键词

Risk science; risk management; decision theory; risk decision-making; risk context

资金

  1. Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada [IRCPJ 394852 -13]
  2. McLauglin Centre for Population Health Risk Assessment at the University of Ottawa

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Risk management decisions in public health require consideration of complex factors, and this review proposes 10 fundamental principles to guide risk decision-making. The applicability of these principles in practice needs to be evaluated based on specific contexts, and decision-makers ultimately need to exercise judgment to make appropriate risk decisions.
Risk management decisions in public health require consideration of a number of complex, often conflicting factors. The aim of this review was to propose a set of 10 fundamental principles to guide risk decision-making. Although each of these principles is sound in its own right, the guidance provided by different principles might lead the decision-maker in different directions. For example, where the precautionary principle advocates for preemptive risk management action under situations of scientific uncertainty and potentially catastrophic consequences, the principle of risk-based decision-making encourages decision-makers to focus on established and modifiable risks, where a return on the investment in risk management is all but guaranteed in the near term. To evaluate the applicability of the 10 principles in practice, one needs to consider 10 diverse risk issues of broad concern and explore which of these principles are most appropriate in different contexts. The 10 principles presented here afford substantive insight into the process of risk management decision-making, although decision-makers will ultimately need to exercise judgment in reaching appropriate risk decisions, accounting for all of the scientific and extra-scientific factors relevant to the risk decision at hand.

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