期刊
EARTHS FUTURE
卷 4, 期 11, 页码 472-482出版社
AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1002/2016EF000417
关键词
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资金
- National Science Foundation (NSF)
- National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
- US Department of Energy (DOE)
- NASA
- National Science Foundation of China (NSFC)
- State Oceanic Administration (SOA) of China
- Directorate For Geosciences
- Div Atmospheric & Geospace Sciences [1262231] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
- Division Of Mathematical Sciences
- Direct For Mathematical & Physical Scien [0940342] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
Global mean surface temperatures (GMST) exhibited a smaller rate of warming during 1998-2013, compared to the warming in the latter half of the 20th Century. Although, not a true hiatus in the strict definition of the word, this has been termed the global warming hiatus by IPCC (2013). There have been other periods that have also been defined as the hiatus depending on the analysis. There are a number of uncertainties and knowledge gaps regarding the hiatus. This report reviews these issues and also posits insights from a collective set of diverse information that helps us understand what we do and do not know. One salient insight is that the GMST phenomenon is a surface characteristic that does not represent a slowdown in warming of the climate system but rather is an energy redistribution within the oceans. Improved understanding of the ocean distribution and redistribution of heat will help better monitor Earth's energy budget and its consequences. A review of recent scientific publications on the hiatus shows the difficulty and complexities in pinpointing the oceanic sink of the missing heat from the atmosphere and the upper layer of the oceans, which defines the hiatus. Advances in hiatus research and outlooks (recommendations) are given in this report.
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