Dynamical Behaviors of an SIR Epidemic Model with Discrete Time

Analytically and numerically, the study examines the stability and local bifurcations of a discrete-time SIR epidemic model. For this model, a number of bifurcations are studied, including the transcritical, flip bifurcations, Neimark-Sacker bifurcations, and strong resonances. These bifurcations are checked, and their non-degeneracy conditions are determined by using the normal form technique (computing of critical normal form coefficients). We use the MATLAB toolbox MATCONTM, which is based on the numerical continuation method, to confirm the obtained analytical results and specify more complex behaviors of the model. Numerical simulation is employed to present a closed invariant curve emerging from a Neimark-Sacker point and its breaking down to several closed invariant curves and eventually giving rise to a chaotic strange attractor by increasing the bifurcation parameter.

Automated summary

This study examines the stability and local bifurcations of a discrete-time SIR epidemic model analytically and numerically. Various bifurcations, including transcritical, flip, Neimark-Sacker, and strong resonances, are studied. The obtained analytical results are confirmed using the numerical continuation method and MATLAB toolbox, which also reveal more complex behaviors of the model.