3.8 Article

Shifting social-ecological fire regimes explain increasing structure loss from Western wildfires

相关参考文献

注意:仅列出部分参考文献,下载原文获取全部文献信息。
Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Warming weakens the night-time barrier to global fire

Jennifer K. Balch et al.

Summary: This study reveals that the intensity of night-time fires has increased due to hotter and drier nights. The global daily minimum vapour pressure deficit (VPD) has increased by 25% from 1979 to 2020. The annual number of flammable night-time hours on burnable lands has increased by 110 hours, allowing for five additional nights of continuous flammability. Across nearly one-fifth of burnable lands, flammable nights have increased by at least one week. Night fires globally have become 7.2% more intense from 2003 to 2020, as measured by satellite records. These findings highlight the lack of relief during the night for wildfire suppression teams. It is expected that continued night-time warming, driven by anthropogenic climate change, will lead to more intense, longer-lasting, and larger fires.

NATURE (2022)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Human ignitions on private lands drive USFS cross-boundary wildfire transmission and community impacts in the western US

William M. Downing et al.

Summary: Wildfires in the western US are becoming more costly, destructive, and deadly. Managing wildfire risk in multijurisdictional landscapes is challenging, especially when fires start on one land tenure and damage assets on other ownerships. This study analyzes data from the past three decades and finds that cross-boundary fires in the western US are primarily caused by humans on private lands, with California experiencing the highest number of ignitions, burned areas, and structure losses. The study also highlights that moderately populated landscapes with dense road and jurisdictional boundary networks are more prone to cross-boundary fire activity, which is expected to continue increasing.

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS (2022)

Article Ecology

Plant-water sensitivity regulates wildfire vulnerability

Krishna Rao et al.

Summary: Increasing vapour pressure deficit (VPD) leads to a chronic increase in wildfire area. Regions with higher vegetation moisture sensitivity to water limitation experience greater increases in burned area for the same increase in VPD. This has resulted in faster population growth in high plant-water sensitivity areas and heightened wildfire risk. Accounting for ecophysiological controls can improve wildfire forecasts, and with the continuation of current trends, human wildfire risk will likely continue to rise.

NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION (2022)

Article Ecology

Higher incidence of high-severity fire in and near industrially managed forests

Jacob Levine et al.

Summary: The increasing severity of wildfires in California forests is linked to past forest management practices, but it is uncertain how land ownership affects these trends. A study found that high-severity fires were more likely to occur on private industrial lands compared to public lands and other lands. The incidence of high-severity fires was also higher in areas adjacent to private industrial land. These findings highlight the need for cross-boundary cooperation to protect ecological and social systems.

FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT (2022)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Human-ignited fires result in more extreme fire behavior and ecosystem impacts

Stijn Hantson et al.

Summary: California has seen a significant increase in burned area, and this study reveals that human-ignited fires have a higher likelihood of spreading under extreme conditions and causing larger ecosystem impacts compared to lightning-ignited fires.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2022)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

US fires became larger, more frequent, and more widespread in the 2000s

Virginia Iglesias et al.

Summary: Recent fires have raised concerns about the impact of regional and global warming on extreme burning. Research shows that average fire events in the United States have increased in size and frequency, and have become more widespread in the 2000s compared to the previous two decades. The most severe fires have also grown in size, frequency, and tendency to co-occur with other extreme fires. These findings align with the observed changes in fire dynamics noted by the media, public, and fire-fighting officials.

SCIENCE ADVANCES (2022)

Article Ecology

Potential operational delineations: new horizons for proactive, risk-informed strategic land and fire management

Matthew P. Thompson et al.

Summary: The concept of PODs is an adaptive framework for cross-boundary and collaborative land and fire management planning. It enables better preparation and foresight for the future, as well as learning from the past to improve performance and alignment with strategy. The expanded application of PODs can enhance the performance of the wildland fire system. Attention should be paid to inclusivity, capacity building, and continuous monitoring and evaluation in PODs planning.

FIRE ECOLOGY (2022)

Article Environmental Sciences

How climate change and fire exclusion drive wildfire regimes at actionable scales

Erin J. Hanan et al.

Summary: Extreme wildfires are increasing globally, prompting new efforts to mitigate risk. The ecological appropriateness of risk mitigation strategies depends on the factors driving these increases. Recent advances in fire regime modeling can help understand which drivers dominate at management-relevant scales.

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2021)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Quantifying contributions of natural variability and anthropogenic forcings on increased fire weather risk over the western United States

Yizhou Zhuang et al.

Summary: Recent studies have shown that the increase in wildfire activity in the western United States in recent years is likely attributed to both natural weather pattern changes and anthropogenic warming, with approximately 68% of the observed trend in vapor pressure deficit (VPD) being due to human influence. Climate models indicate that anthropogenic forcing explains an even larger fraction (88%) of the VPD trend, providing a lower and upper bound on the true impact of anthropogenic warming on VPD trends in the region. In August 2020, during the occurrence of the August Complex Gigafire, it is estimated that anthropogenic warming explained 50% of the exceptionally high VPD anomalies.

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2021)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Compound Extremes Drive the Western Oregon Wildfires of September 2020

John T. Abatzoglou et al.

Summary: The large high-impact fires in western Oregon in September 2020 were caused by a combination of dry air intrusion and strong east winds. These compound extremes were unmatched in the observational record, highlighting the importance of assessing wildfire hazard risk with a multivariate lens.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2021)

Article Ecology

Adapting western North American forests to climate change and wildfires: 10 common questions

Susan J. Prichard et al.

Summary: It is necessary to take a range of proactive management actions to adapt to changing climatic and wildfire regimes, including restoring active fire regimes, prescribed burning, and thinning in western North American forests. These actions should be consistent with land management allocations and forest conditions to help maintain the ecological balance of the forests.

ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS (2021)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Rocky Mountain subalpine forests now burning more than any time in recent millennia

Philip E. Higuera et al.

Summary: The 2020 fire season in the western United States marked a decades-long trend of increased fire activity, particularly in subalpine forests where fire frequency historically has been low. Observing fire activity over the past 2000 years reveals that the current fire rotation period and burning rates are significantly higher than historical averages. This highlights how extreme events in recent years are shaping new fire regimes as temperatures continue to rise, impacting subalpine forests in the Rocky Mountains.

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2021)

Article Environmental Sciences

Risky Development: Increasing Exposure to Natural Hazards in the United States

Virginia Iglesias et al.

Summary: Losses from natural hazards are increasing, with development contributing to the exposure of vulnerable assets and populations to risks. Studies show that a large number of buildings are located in hazard hotspots, a result of decades of sustained growth, indicating potential for even larger future losses if development in hazardous areas is not limited.

EARTHS FUTURE (2021)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Fine-grained, spatiotemporal datasets measuring 200 years of land development in the United States

Johannes H. Uhl et al.

Summary: The construction of new spatially explicit settlement data for the United States dating back to the early 19th century provides researchers with a novel tool for historical analysis of the built environment. These datasets, available for download, offer unprecedented spatial and temporal resolution for studying changes in built properties over time.

EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE DATA (2021)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

All-hazards dataset mined from the US National Incident Management System 1999-2014

Lise A. St Denis et al.

SCIENTIFIC DATA (2020)

Review Plant Sciences

Fire as a fundamental ecological process: Research advances and frontiers

Kendra K. McLauchlan et al.

JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY (2020)

Article Ecology

Wildfires as an ecosystem service

Juli G. Pausas et al.

FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT (2019)

Review Ecology

Climate, Environment, and Disturbance History Govern Resilience of Western North American Forests

Paul F. Hessburg et al.

FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION (2019)

Article Environmental Sciences

Observed Impacts of Anthropogenic Climate Change on Wildfire in California

A. Park Williams et al.

EARTHS FUTURE (2019)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Global Emergence of Anthropogenic Climate Change in Fire Weather Indices

John T. Abatzoglou et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2019)

Article Environmental Sciences

Attribution of the Influence of Human-Induced Climate Change on an Extreme Fire Season

M. C. Kirchmeier-Young et al.

EARTHS FUTURE (2019)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Rapid growth of the US wildland-urban interface raises wildfire risk

Volker C. Radeloff et al.

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2018)

Article Environmental Sciences

Mapping forest change using stacked generalization: An ensemble approach

Sean P. Healey et al.

REMOTE SENSING OF ENVIRONMENT (2018)

Article Environmental Sciences

A LandTrendr multispectral ensemble for forest disturbance detection

Warren B. Cohen et al.

REMOTE SENSING OF ENVIRONMENT (2018)

Article Environmental Sciences

The health impacts and economic value of wildland fire episodes in the US: 2008-2012

Neal Fann et al.

SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT (2018)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

The unequal vulnerability of communities of color to wildfire

Ian P. Davies et al.

PLOS ONE (2018)

Article Ecology

The 2017 North Bay and Southern California Fires: A Case Study

Nicholas J. Nauslar et al.

FIRE-SWITZERLAND (2018)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Human-started wildfires expand the fire niche across the United States

Jennifer K. Balch et al.

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2017)

Article Environmental Sciences

Google Earth Engine: Planetary-scale geospatial analysis for everyone

Noel Gorelick et al.

REMOTE SENSING OF ENVIRONMENT (2017)

Article Ecology

Human exposure and sensitivity to globally extreme wildfire events

David M. J. S. Bowman et al.

NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION (2017)

Article Ecology

US wildfire governance as social-ecological problem

Toddi Steelman

ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY (2016)

Article Ecology

Wildfire risk as a socioecological pathology

A. Paige Fischer et al.

FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT (2016)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests

John T. Abatzoglou et al.

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2016)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Climate-induced variations in global wildfire danger from 1979 to 2013

W. Matt Jolly et al.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2015)

Review Multidisciplinary Sciences

Learning to coexist with wildfire

Max A. Moritz et al.

NATURE (2014)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

How risk management can prevent future wildfire disasters in the wildland-urban interface

David E. Calkin et al.

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2014)

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Development of gridded surface meteorological data for ecological applications and modelling

John T. Abatzoglou

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2013)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Recent burning of boreal forests exceeds fire regime limits of the past 10,000 years

Ryan Kelly et al.

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2013)

Article Engineering, Environmental

A simulation of probabilistic wildfire risk components for the continental United States

Mark A. Finney et al.

STOCHASTIC ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND RISK ASSESSMENT (2011)