Interobserver agreement and prognostic value of image-based scoring systems in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis

Background Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a cholestatic liver disease that progresses to cirrhosis and liver failure. The Anali and Amsterdam scores are based upon imaging features on MRI and ERCP, respectively.Aims We aimed to compare the interobserver variability and performances of these scores.Methods Patients with PSC with at least 1 MRCP were included. Images were independently scored by 2 experts. Agreement and prognostic performance with a primary end point of hepatic decompensation was assessed.Results Fifty-nine patients were included (67.8% male, 86.4% IBD). Interobserver agreement for the Anali and Amsterdam scores were moderate (k = 0.49; 95% CI 0.35-0.64 and k = 0.43; 95% CI 0.30-0.56, respectively). Among the Anali components, dysmorphy (caudate/right lobe ratio > 0.9) had fair agreement (k = 0.37; 95% CI 0.14-0.60) and portal hypertension (k = 0.64, 95% CI 0.32-0.89) and intrahepatic dilation (k = 0.70; 95% CI 0.53-0.87) had substantial agreement. The Amsterdam extrahepatic and intrahepatic scores had fair agreement (k = 0.38; 95% CI 0.23-0.52) and moderate agreement (k = 0.50; 95% CI 0.34-0.67), respectively. Anali score (HR 5.90, 95% CI 1.64-21.21), total bilirubin (HR = 3.23; 95% Cl 1.06-9.91), and age (HR = 1.05; 95% CI 1.00-1.11) were independent predictors of hepatic decompensation. Mayo risk score and Anali score had good discriminative ability with c-statistics of 0.78 (CI 0.59-0.96) and 0.76 (CI 0.56-0.91). Anali score remained an independent predictor after adjusting for Mayo risk score.Conclusion Anali score adds additional predictive value for hepatic decompensation in patients with PSC. [GRAPHICS] .

Automated summary

This study found that the Anali score provides additional predictive value for hepatic decompensation in patients with PSC. The Anali score has good discriminative ability with the Mayo risk score and can serve as an independent predictor.