4.5 Article

Cloze probability, predictability ratings, and computational estimates for 205 English sentences, aligned with existing EEG and reading time data

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BEHAVIOR RESEARCH METHODS
卷 -, 期 -, 页码 -

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SPRINGER
DOI: 10.3758/s13428-023-02261-8

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Cloze probability; Predictability ratings; Surprisal estimates; Prediction

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The study released a database of cloze probability values, predictability ratings, and computational estimates for a sample of English sentences. The analysis found that predictability ratings were the best predictors of EEG signals, self-paced reading times, and eye movement patterns when spillover effects were taken into account. The study also found that cloze probability estimates were the best predictors of early fixation patterns.
We release a database of cloze probability values, predictability ratings, and computational estimates for a sample of 205 English sentences (1726 words), aligned with previously released word-by-word reading time data (both self-paced reading and eye-movement records; Frank et al., Behavior Research Methods, 45(4), 1182-1190. 2013) and EEG responses (Frank et al., Brain and Language, 140, 1-11. 2015). Our analyses show that predictability ratings are the best predictors of the EEG signal (N400, P600, LAN) self-paced reading times, and eye movement patterns, when spillover effects are taken into account. The computational estimates are particularly effective at explaining variance in the eye-tracking data without spillover. Cloze probability estimates have decent overall psychometric accuracy and are the best predictors of early fixation patterns (first fixation duration). Our results indicate that the choice of the best measurement of word predictability in context critically depends on the processing index being considered.

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