4.6 Article

Modeling the role of public health intervention measures in halting the transmission of monkeypox virus

相关参考文献

注意:仅列出部分参考文献,下载原文获取全部文献信息。
Article Infectious Diseases

Possibility of mpox viral transmission and control from high-risk to the general population: a modeling study

Shiting Yang et al.

Summary: This study investigates the strategies for preventing and controlling the transmission of Mpox. It quantifies the transmissibility of Mpox using a dynamic model and finds that it has high transmissibility among MSM. Therefore, community prevention and control measures are crucial in containing the spread of Mpox.

BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES (2023)

Article Virology

Assessing transmission risks and control strategy for monkeypox as an emerging zoonosis in a metropolitan area

Pei Yuan et al.

Summary: This study models the spread of monkeypox in a metropolitan area to assess the risk of outbreaks and identify necessary public health measures. By considering potential animal hosts and emphasizing their role in transmission, the study finds that the virus may spread from high-risk groups to broader populations. However, the risk of outbreak can be greatly reduced through isolation and tracing of symptomatic cases.

JOURNAL OF MEDICAL VIROLOGY (2023)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Virulence differences of mpox (monkeypox) virus clades I, IIa, and IIb.1 in a small animal model

Jeffrey L. Americo et al.

Summary: Monkeypox, a disease similar to smallpox, has become endemic in Africa with limited human-to-human transmission. However, in 2022, the disease spread globally, driven by human-to-human transmission outside of Africa. It is still unclear whether this is due to behavioral factors or the virus adapting to a new host. Genome sequencing revealed differences between the current outbreak strain (clade IIb) and previous strains (clade IIa and clade I), but the impact of these differences on virulence or transmission is yet to be determined. Using a mouse model, researchers found that the clade I virus was more virulent than the clade IIa and IIb.1 strains, suggesting that clade IIb may be evolving diminished virulence or adapting to other species.

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2023)

Article Mathematics

Unfolding the Transmission Dynamics of Monkeypox Virus: An Epidemiological Modelling Analysis

Mohammed M. Al-Shomrani et al.

Summary: Monkeypox is a zoonotic viral disease that has caused outbreaks in West Africa. The current global epidemic of monkeypox virus poses a serious threat to public health in both endemic and non-endemic areas. A deterministic model is used to investigate the transmission behavior and control interventions of monkeypox virus.

MATHEMATICS (2023)

Article Environmental Sciences

Transmission dynamics of Monkeypox virus: a mathematical modelling approach

Olumuyiwa James Peter et al.

Summary: Monkeypox, caused by the monkeypox virus, occurs in remote regions of Central and West Africa near tropical rainforests. A mathematical model was developed to analyze the virus, showing both local and global stability conditions for disease-free and endemic equilibria. The model also reveals the importance of isolating infected individuals to reduce disease transmission.

MODELING EARTH SYSTEMS AND ENVIRONMENT (2022)

Article Infectious Diseases

Monkeypox outbreaks outside endemic regions: scientific and social priorities

Alimuddin Zumla et al.

LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES (2022)

Article Immunology

Transmission Dynamics of Monkeypox Virus in Nigeria during the Current COVID-19 Pandemic and Estimation of Effective Reproduction Number

Salihu Sabiu Musa et al.

Summary: This study discusses the potential emergencies of Monkeypox virus (MPXV) transmission during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, highlighting the need for real-time monitoring and improved awareness programs.

VACCINES (2022)

Article Physics, Multidisciplinary

Accurate and efficient matrix techniques for solving the fractional Lotka-Volterra population model

Mohammad Izadi et al.

Summary: This paper aims to develop accurate novel collocation techniques for solving a fractional fractional-order Lotka-Volterra predator-prey model. The study introduces Morgan-Voyce polynomials and two new techniques, demonstrating their high accuracy and feasibility through experiments and comparisons.

PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS (2022)

Article Physics, Multidisciplinary

Fractional order mathematical model of monkeypox transmission dynamics

Olumuyiwa James Peter et al.

Summary: This paper presents a mathematical model of monkeypox virus using both classical and fractional-order differential equations. The model is fitted using data from Nigeria in 2019 to explore the dynamics of the disease. Stability analysis shows the importance of controlling the infection when R (0) < 1.

PHYSICA SCRIPTA (2022)

Article Public, Environmental & Occupational Health

Modeling vaccination and control strategies for outbreaks of monkeypox at gatherings

Pei Yuan et al.

Summary: Mass gathering events can lead to monkeypox outbreaks, but they can be controlled through public health measures such as isolating cases and vaccinating close contacts. Contact tracing, vaccination, and isolation of close contacts are more effective during summer gatherings. Reducing the number of attendees and effective contacts, as well as vaccination requirements, can prevent outbreaks.

FRONTIERS IN PUBLIC HEALTH (2022)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Post pandemic fatigue: what are effective strategies?

Ziyue Yuan et al.

Summary: This study evaluated the effectiveness of gathering restrictions and quarantine policies based on a modified SEIHR model to study the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in Hong Kong. The results showed that the disease cannot be eliminated even if the basic reproduction number is less than 1. The study also identified the most sensitive parameters that affect the overall dynamics.

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS (2022)

Article Infectious Diseases

Monitoring monkeypox virus in saliva and air samples in Spain: a cross-sectional study

Bruno Hernaez et al.

Lancet Microbe (2022)

Article Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications

On nonlinear dynamics of a fractional order monkeypox virus model

A. El-Mesady et al.

Summary: This study examines a fractional-order model to simulate the spread of the monkeypox virus in human and rodent populations. The model is formulated as a system of nonlinear differential equations with eight mutually exclusive compartments. The reproduction number and equilibrium points of the model are analyzed, and the impacts of key parameters and control measures for the monkeypox epidemic are thoroughly examined.

CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS (2022)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Heavy-tailed sexual contact networks and monkeypox epidemiology in the global outbreak, 2022

Akira Endo et al.

Summary: The outbreak of monkeypox in non-endemic regions in May 2022 has distinct epidemiological features, particularly its rapid spread among men who have sex with men (MSM). A study suggests that the heavy-tailed sexual partnership distribution, where a few individuals have numerous partners, can explain the sustained growth of monkeypox among MSM. This highlights the need for tailored messaging and support to prevent and detect monkeypox among MSM with high numbers of partners.

SCIENCE (2022)

Review Virology

Atypical and Unique Transmission of Monkeypox Virus during the 2022 Outbreak: An Overview of the Current State of Knowledge

Jade C. Riopelle et al.

Summary: This article discusses the current monkeypox outbreak in non-endemic countries based on relevant research on monkeypox and smallpox. Undetected circulation, atypical transmission routes, and mild/asymptomatic cases have facilitated the spread of monkeypox in non-endemic regions. Therefore, improved diagnostics, enhanced surveillance, targeted education, and a better understanding of transmission routes are critical to controlling the current outbreak.

VIRUSES-BASEL (2022)

Article Medicine, General & Internal

Transmission dynamics of monkeypox in the United Kingdom: contact tracing study

Thomas Ward et al.

Summary: This study analyzed the transmission dynamics of the monkeypox outbreak in the UK and found a significant amount of asymptomatic transmission and a prolonged infectious period.

BMJ-BRITISH MEDICAL JOURNAL (2022)

Editorial Material Biochemistry & Molecular Biology

Urgent need for a non-discriminatory and non-stigmatizing nomenclature for monkeypox virus

Christian Happi et al.

Summary: We propose a novel and non-discriminatory classification method for monkeypox virus diversity. Collaborating with the World Health Organization, we named three clades (I, IIa, and IIb) in the order of detection. Within IIb, which is responsible for the ongoing global outbreak, we identified multiple lineages (A.1, A.2, A.1.1, and B.1) to support real-time genomic surveillance.

PLOS BIOLOGY (2022)

Article Mathematical & Computational Biology

Unravelling the dynamics of Lassa fever transmission with differential infectivity: Modeling analysis and control strategies

Salihu S. Musa et al.

Summary: Epidemic models are important for understanding and predicting the behavior of infectious diseases. This study proposes a dynamic model for analyzing the transmission of Lassa fever, a deadly disease transmitted through rodents and the environment. The model successfully fits with the LF scenario in Nigeria and identifies two equilibrium points. Time-dependent control strategies and sensitivity analysis are used to optimize LF control efforts. Overall, this research provides valuable insights for LF prevention and control.

MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES AND ENGINEERING (2022)

Article Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications

DYNAMICAL ANALYSIS OF A NOVEL DISCRETE FRACTIONAL SITRS MODEL FOR COVID-19

A. M. R. Elsonbaty et al.

Summary: A discrete fractional SITRS model is presented for simulating the COVID-19 pandemic, with modifications to account for reinfection and unequal infection rates of different population groups. Equilibrium points and stability analysis were discussed, with numerical simulations providing insights into disease spread and parameter influences, along with comparisons with clinical data.

FRACTALS-COMPLEX GEOMETRY PATTERNS AND SCALING IN NATURE AND SOCIETY (2021)

Article Engineering, Mechanical

Numerical simulation and stability analysis of a novel reaction-diffusion COVID-19 model

Nauman Ahmed et al.

Summary: A novel reaction-diffusion model for COVID-19 spread, incorporating random movements of individuals, was investigated. Equilibrium points and stability analyses were conducted for diffusive and non-diffusive models. The study revealed significant impact of individual random motion on virus spread dynamics and offered strategies for better control.

NONLINEAR DYNAMICS (2021)

Article Biology

Mechanistic modelling of the large-scale Lassa fever epidemics in Nigeria from 2016 to 2019

Salihu S. Musa et al.

JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2020)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

A game-theoretic model of Monkeypox to assess vaccination strategies

Sri Vibhaav Bankuru et al.

Article Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications

Analysis of a fractional HIV model with Caputo and constant proportional Caputo operators

Hatira Gunerhan et al.

CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS (2020)

Article Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications

Structure Preserving Numerical Analysis of HIV and CD4+T-Cells Reaction Diffusion Model in Two Space Dimensions

Nauman Ahmed et al.

CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS (2020)

Article Mathematics, Applied

DYNAMICAL ANALYSIS OF CHIKUNGUNYA AND DENGUE CO-INFECTION MODEL

Salihu Sabiu Musa et al.

DISCRETE AND CONTINUOUS DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS-SERIES B (2020)

Article Biology

Effect of active case finding on dengue control: Implications from a mathematical model

Indrajit Ghosh et al.

JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2019)

Article Ecology

Mathematical model to assess vaccination and effective contact rate impact in the spread of tuberculosis

Leontine Nkague Nkamba et al.

JOURNAL OF BIOLOGICAL DYNAMICS (2019)

Article Infectious Diseases

Modelling the large-scale yellow fever outbreak in Luanda, Angola, and the impact of vaccination

Shi Zhao et al.

PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES (2018)

Article Biology

Impact of Awareness Programs on Cholera Dynamics: Two Modeling Approaches

Chayu Yang et al.

BULLETIN OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY (2017)

Article Mathematics, Applied

Transmission dynamics of cholera: Mathematical modeling and control strategies

Gui-Quan Sun et al.

COMMUNICATIONS IN NONLINEAR SCIENCE AND NUMERICAL SIMULATION (2017)

Article Infectious Diseases

Estimating the basic reproductive ratio for the Ebola outbreak in Liberia and Sierra Leone

Adnan Khan et al.

INFECTIOUS DISEASES OF POVERTY (2015)

Article Mathematics, Applied

GLOBAL STABILITY OF INFECTIOUS DISEASE MODELS USING LYAPUNOV FUNCTIONS

Zhisheng Shuai et al.

SIAM JOURNAL ON APPLIED MATHEMATICS (2013)

Article Mathematics, Applied

Causes of backward bifurcations in some epidemiological models

A. B. Gumel

JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS AND APPLICATIONS (2012)

Article Mathematics, Applied

Qualitative study of a quarantine/isolation model with multiple disease stages

Mohammad A. Safi et al.

APPLIED MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTATION (2011)

Article Biology

Qualitative assessment of the role of public health education program on HIV transmission dynamics

N. Hussaini et al.

MATHEMATICAL MEDICINE AND BIOLOGY-A JOURNAL OF THE IMA (2011)

Article Biology

Backward bifurcations in dengue transmission dynamics

S. M. Garba et al.

MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES (2008)

Article Public, Environmental & Occupational Health

Dynamic models of meningococcal carriage, disease, and the impact of serogroup C conjugate vaccination

CL Trotter et al.

AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY (2005)

Article Mathematical & Computational Biology

Dynamical models of tuberculosis and their applications

C Castillo-Chavez et al.

MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES AND ENGINEERING (2004)