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Article
Engineering, Environmental
Kairui You et al.
Summary: This study developed an innovative carbon emissions simulation model that considers climate area, building type, and end-use service to understand the carbon emission trend and tap the potential of emission mitigation. The results indicate the need for stronger strategies in China's building sector to achieve the carbon peak goal. To achieve carbon neutrality, collective efforts are required, with decarbonization of electricity generation, building stock regulation, and residential green behavior guidance being the top three contributors to carbon abatement.
RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING
(2023)
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Qingwei Shi et al.
Summary: This study aims to explore the different drivers of carbon emission reduction in the provincial building sector in China and simulate the future trajectory of carbon emissions. The study found that fixed-asset investment and output in the building sector are the main drivers of carbon emission growth at both national and provincial levels. The study also highlighted the importance of carbon-intensity investment and output in driving carbon emission growth. The findings suggest that achieving the 2030 carbon peak target in the building sector may be challenging, but efficiency-oriented and technological advances can help make it more attainable. Regional contexts should be considered when formulating peaking targets and emission-reduction policies for each provincial building sector.
SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION
(2023)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Rui Li et al.
Summary: The scientific assessment of historical carbon peak situation of provincial buildings in China is crucial for understanding the country's development trends and setting carbon peak goals. Due to significant variations in population size, urbanization stages, economic development levels, natural resources endowment, and energy structure characteristics, there are differences in building carbon emissions peaking situation among different provinces in China, which requires more attention given the current environmental status.
JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
(2023)
Article
Energy & Fuels
Kai Li et al.
Summary: This study evaluated the carbon reduction changes of commercial building operations in China from 2001 to 2016, finding that provinces in northeast and north China led in reduction intensity and amount, while southwest provinces had the highest reduction-emission efficiency. The annual carbon reductions based on provincial units peaked at 167.35 MtCO(2) in 2013, with effective practices by local governments summarized for energy efficiency promotion in commercial building operations.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Qingye Han et al.
Summary: This study develops an assessment method to compare carbon emissions of a building in the construction stage when it is built with multiple different prefabrication rates. The result shows that the carbon emission of prefabricated buildings is higher compared to that of traditional cast-in situ buildings, and the emission of prefabricated buildings decreased slightly with the increase in the prefabrication rate. Suggestions are given to improve the carbon emission reduction efficiency of prefabrication techniques.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH
(2022)
Article
Construction & Building Technology
Sha Liu et al.
Summary: With the increase of urban development in China, the efficient and sustainable development of prefabricated buildings has become a complex issue that requires consideration of comprehensive benefits. This study applied TBL theory and system dynamics to analyze the relationships between the economic, environmental, and social subsystems, and obtained valuable conclusions.
SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Shenghai Fan et al.
Summary: This study uses the STIRPAT model to analyze the energy consumption and carbon emissions trends of Chinese ports, and finds that carbon emissions of Chinese ports have peaked under most scenarios, requiring specific strategies to reduce carbon emissions.
FRONTIERS IN ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE
(2022)
Article
Construction & Building Technology
Chunyu Chen et al.
Summary: This study constructs a research framework to investigate the influencing factors and driving mechanisms of carbon emissions at the building operation stage. The study reveals that there are spatial variations in carbon emissions across different regions in China and different factors have varying degrees of influence. The driving mechanisms of carbon emissions also differ over time. Based on these findings, a carbon neutral pathway map for the building sector is proposed.
BUILDING AND ENVIRONMENT
(2022)
Article
Energy & Fuels
Xingfan Pu et al.
Summary: The goal of reaching the peak of carbon in the construction industry is urgent, but research and implementation of relevant policies in China are relatively superficial. This paper establishes a BP neural network model for predicting building CO2 emissions and explores the practical path to accomplish the peak of building CO2 emissions through scenario analysis. The model effectively predicts the feasibility of the carbon peak and carbon-neutral target set by the government and provides a useful predictive tool for adjusting the energy structure and formulating emission reduction policies.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Xiaoyuan Wu et al.
Summary: The low-carbon development of the power industry is crucial for the overall low-carbon development of society. This study analyzes the driving factors of carbon emission changes in China's power industry and simulates the potential evolution trend of carbon emissions under different scenarios. The results reveal that economic output is the primary factor contributing to increased carbon emissions, while conversion efficiency plays a role in restraining carbon emissions. Additionally, the power structure has been effective in reducing carbon emissions since 2013.
ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH
(2022)
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Yang Zhang et al.
Summary: The majority of carbon emissions come from the building sector, so controlling building stock, extending building lifetimes, encouraging retrofitting, and improving material recycling and production efficiency are key to reducing carbon emissions in the construction industry.
JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
(2022)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Jing Wang et al.
Summary: This study examines the spatiotemporal characteristics and influencing factors of carbon emissions from civil buildings in China. The findings show that carbon emissions from civil buildings have been increasing year by year and have become an important source of China's overall carbon emissions. There is a significant inverted U-shaped non-linear relationship between urbanization and civil building carbon emissions, indicating the need to reduce emissions during rapid urbanization. Technological progress and fixed asset investment can effectively reduce carbon emissions, while marketization and social consumption expenditure positively affect emissions. Improving market mechanisms and promoting green energy-saving technologies in civil buildings are necessary to achieve carbon reduction goals.
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Yun Duan
Summary: This study proposes a probabilistic load-forecasting method for building energy consumption, which is more suitable for long-term planning and management. The LSTM-PQR model shows superior performance compared to other models and can guide building sustainability management in a future carbon neutral scenario.
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Sensen Zhang et al.
Summary: This paper studies the influencing factors of carbon emissions in the construction industry in Jiangsu Province and predicts the future carbon emissions trend. The research found that factors such as resident population, urbanization rate, and steel production have a catalytic effect on carbon emissions, while per capita GDP and added value of tertiary industry have a suppressive effect. The prediction results show that future carbon emissions in Jiangsu Province will decrease.
Article
Energy & Fuels
Tengfei Huo et al.
Summary: Carbon mitigation in the commercial building sector is crucial for achieving carbon peaking and carbon neutrality. However, there is limited scientific research on the long-term evolutionary trajectories and peak path in this sector. This study develops an integrated dynamic emission assessment model and uses scenario analysis to model the dynamic evolution of Chinese commercial building carbon emissions until 2060. The results indicate that cooling and lighting are the main contributors to carbon emissions growth, with varying carbon abatement potentials across climate zones. Promoting technological progress, increasing clean energy use, and raising low-carbon awareness are identified as major strategies for early carbon peaking and carbon neutrality.
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Xiaoyan Wang et al.
Summary: This paper explores the implementation effects of low-carbon practices in the prefabricated building supply chain using a game-based system dynamics model. The results demonstrate that low-carbon practices can effectively mitigate carbon emissions while improving profits for participants. The study highlights the importance of increasing developers' environmental awareness and the continuous promotion of prefabrication for enhancing the effects of low-carbon practices. It also suggests that carbon taxes may not always stimulate the implementation of low-carbon practices, particularly in the initial development stage of prefabricated buildings. This research is significant for PBSC members in adopting low-carbon practices and for government in formulating prospective carbon-reduction policies.
JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Yong Xiao et al.
Summary: This paper proposes a carbon emission permits allocation and optimization scheme that takes into account fairness and efficiency. It establishes a carbon emission quota system based on fairness principle and conducts the initial allocation using comprehensive index method. Then, it iteratively obtains the optimal allocation scheme using ZSG-DEA model. Example analysis shows that this scheme can achieve optimal allocation and support carbon emission reduction decisions.
FRONTIERS IN ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE
(2022)
Article
Construction & Building Technology
Chang Xi et al.
Summary: Excessive carbon emissions are causing global warming and the greenhouse effect, and reducing carbon emissions in the construction industry, which is one of the main sources, is crucial. This paper summarizes the current status of building design and proposes the SCPO path to address the challenges, providing theoretical guidance for low carbon building design.
Article
Construction & Building Technology
Zhenshuang Wang et al.
Summary: This study explores the spatial network structure characteristics and driving effects of carbon emission intensity in China's construction industry. By measuring the carbon emission data of China's construction industry in various provinces from 2006 to 2017, the study combines the modified gravity model and social network analysis method to analyze the spatially associated network structure characteristics and driving effects of carbon emission intensity. The results show significant regional differences in carbon emissions in the construction industry and a fluctuating trend in carbon emission intensity. The overall network exhibits a core-edge state, with economically developed provinces playing a leading and intermediary role. Increasing network density, reducing network hierarchy, and improving network efficiency can help reduce construction carbon emission intensity.
Article
Computer Science, Information Systems
Mohammad Hadwan et al.
Summary: Time series forecasting is crucial in various applications, but there is a problem of insufficient accuracy. This study proposes a hybrid forecasting method that combines ARIMA and BPNN models to improve accuracy. The proposed method has achieved good results in predicting CPI indices and the number of cancer patients in Yemen.
CMC-COMPUTERS MATERIALS & CONTINUA
(2022)
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Peng Gao et al.
Summary: This study analyzed embodied carbon emissions of 28 industry sectors in China from 2005 to 2017 and found that both embodied and direct carbon emissions are generally increasing, while the overall efficiency has improved. There are significant differences among industries, and the reduction potential of embodied carbon emissions is lower than that of direct carbon emissions.
JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
(2021)
Article
Economics
Tengfei Huo et al.
Summary: This study developed an integrated dynamic simulation model to explore the uncertainties of future trajectory of urban residential building carbon emissions (URBCE) using scenario analysis and Monte Carlo simulation. Results showed substantial disparities among different building end-uses in mitigating URBCE.
Article
Construction & Building Technology
Tengfei Huo et al.
Summary: This study investigates the impact of urbanization on China's carbon emissions from buildings through a comprehensive framework and dynamic simulation model. It predicts the peak emissions and trajectories of different building sectors, and finds that rural-urban migration plays a significant role in influencing the peaking time and emission peaks. This research provides valuable insights for the government in formulating effective strategies to achieve carbon peaking and neutrality goals.
ENERGY AND BUILDINGS
(2021)
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Dezhi Li et al.
Summary: China's construction industry is a major carbon emitter which significantly affects the country's carbon emission commitment. Regional heterogeneity requires accurate prediction of provincial carbon emissions, and implementing multiple carbon reduction measures simultaneously is crucial for achieving peak emissions before 2030.
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
R. Cao et al.
Summary: A fractional multi-stage simulation-optimization energy model is developed to tackle uncertainties and conflicting objectives in regional energy systems. The study finds that carbon emissions can be reduced under scenarios of climate change mitigation and socioeconomic development, with forest carbon sink as an effective alternative.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Tengfei Huo et al.
Summary: Urbanization has a nonlinear impact on urban residential building CO2 emissions, influenced by per capita income and energy structure stages. Promoting environmentally-friendly consumption patterns and increasing the penetration of cleaner energies in urban households can effectively alleviate the growth of residential carbon emissions.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
(2021)
Article
Construction & Building Technology
Shufan Zhang et al.
Summary: This study provides a detailed data analysis and carbon neutral roadmap for step-wise carbon neutrality of commercial building operations through the analysis of dynamic emission scenarios. The results show that the carbon emissions of commercial building operations will peak in 2039, requiring an additional 169.73 Mt CO2 to be cut to achieve carbon neutrality. It is suggested that a multi-sectoral synergistic strategy is needed, with a better understanding of the challenges and urgent action required in the building sector to achieve carbon neutrality.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Xi Chen et al.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
(2020)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Bo Li et al.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
(2020)
Article
Construction & Building Technology
George Papachristos et al.
ENERGY AND BUILDINGS
(2020)
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Weina Zhu et al.
JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
(2020)
Article
Thermodynamics
Hyun Mi Cho et al.
Article
Energy & Fuels
Minda Ma et al.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Yuan Zhao et al.
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
(2019)
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Tengfei Huo et al.
JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
(2018)
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Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Lili Du et al.
JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
(2018)
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Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Zhili Du et al.
JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
(2018)
Review
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Lizhen Huang et al.
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS
(2018)
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Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Yuan Fang et al.
JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
(2018)
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Nan Zhou et al.
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Environmental Sciences
Xi Zhang et al.
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
(2017)
