Analyzing the emerging patterns of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron subvariants for the development of next-gen vaccine: An observational study

Background and Aim: Understanding the prevalence and impact of SARS-CoV-2 variants has assumed paramount importance. This study statistically analyzed to effectively track the emergence and spread of the variants and highlights the importance of such investigations in developing potential next-gen vaccine to combat the continuously emerging Omicron subvariants.Methods: Transmission fitness advantage and effective reproductive number (Re) of epidemiologically relevant SARS-CoV-2 sublineages through time during the study period based on the GISAID data were estimated.Results: The analyses covered the period from January to June 2023 around an array of sequenced samples. The dominance of the XBB variant strain, accounting for approximately 57.63% of the cases, was identified during the timeframe. XBB.1.5 exhibited 37.95% prevalence rate from March to June 2023. Multiple variants showed considerable global influence throughout the study, as sporadically documented. Notably, the XBB variant demonstrated an estimated relative 28% weekly growth advantage compared with others. Numerous variants were resistant to the over-the-counter vaccines and breakthrough infections were reported. Similarly, the efficacy of mAB-based therapy appeared limited. However, it's important to underscore the perceived benefits of these preventive and therapeutic measures were restricted to specific variants.Conclusion: Given the observed trends, a comprehensive next-gen vaccine coupled with an advanced vaccination strategy could be a potential panacea in the fight against the pandemic. The findings suggest that targeted vaccine development could be an effective strategy to prevent infections. The study also highlights the need of global collaborations to rapidly develop and distribute the vaccines to ensure global human health.

Automated summary

This study statistically analyzed the prevalence and spread of SARS-CoV-2 variants, emphasizing the importance of such investigations in developing potential next-gen vaccines against emerging Omicron subvariants. The dominance of the XBB variant strain was identified, and targeted vaccine development was suggested as an effective strategy for prevention. The study also highlighted the need for global collaborations in vaccine development and distribution to ensure global human health.