Delineating the Structure-Dynamics-Binding Differences among BA.1, BA.4/5, and BF.7 SARS-CoV-2 Variants through Atomistic Simulations: Correlation with Structural and Epidemiological Features

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is an RNA virus possessing a spike (S) protein that facilitates the entry of the virus into human cells. The emergence of highly transmissible and fit SARS-CoV-2 variants has been driven by the positive selection of mutations within the S-protein. Notable among these variants are alpha, beta, gamma, delta, and omicron (BA.1), with the latter contributing to significant global health challenges and impacting populations worldwide. Recently, a novel subvariant of BA.1, named BF.7, has surfaced, purportedly exhibiting elevated transmissibility and infectivity rates. In order to comprehend and compare the transmissibility and disease progression characteristics of distinct SARS-CoV-2 variants, we performed an extensive comparative analysis utilizing all-atom molecular dynamics (MD) simulations (in triplicate) to investigate the structural, dynamic, and binding features of BA.1, BA.4/5, and BF.7. Our simulation findings, energetic analysis, and assessment of physicochemical properties collectively illuminate the dominance of the BA.1 variant over the others, a trend that is further substantiated by the sustained global prevalence of BA.1 relative to BA.4/5 and BF.7. Additionally, our simulation results align well with the reported cryoelectron microscopy (cryo-EM) structural data and epidemiological characteristics obtained from the Global Initiative on Sharing All Influenza Data (GISAID). This study presents a comprehensive comparative elucidation of the critical structural, dynamic, and binding attributes of these variants, providing insights into the predominance of BA.1 and its propensity to continuously generate numerous novel subvariants.

Automated summary

This study performs a comparative analysis of the transmissibility and disease progression characteristics of different variants of SARS-CoV-2. The simulation findings suggest that the BA.1 variant dominates over others in terms of global prevalence. The results align well with experimental and epidemiological data.