4.5 Article

Factors driving changes in surface ozone in 44 coastal cities in China

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SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s11869-023-01446-6

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Ozone; KZ filter; Meteorological conditions; Precursor emissions; Coastal cities

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Surface ozone pollution is an important environmental problem in China. We conducted a study to investigate the influence of meteorological factors and emissions on ozone concentrations in coastal cities. The study found that ozone concentrations increased from 2015 to 2019 and decreased in 2020, and different components on different timescales had varying effects on ozone concentrations.
Surface ozone (O-3) pollution is an important environmental problem in China. We conducted a comprehensive study to investigate the influence of meteorological factors and emissions on O-3 concentrations in 44 coastal cities in China. A Kolmogorov-Zurbenko (KZ) filter was used to decompose the maximum daily average 8-h O-3 concentrations (MDA8 O-3) into components on different timescales in the coastal cities. It revealed that O-3 concentrations in 44 coastal cities increased from 2015 to 2019 and decreased by 4.0% in 2020. The short-term (O-3ST), seasonal (O-3SN), and long-term components (O-3LT) of MDA8 O-3 contributed 28.4-71.1% (52.0% on average), 18.4-66.4% (37.9%), and 0.09-14.1% (2.6%) to the total variance, respectively, in the 44 cities during 2015-2020. Overall, the O-3 concentrations were more influenced by O-3ST in the southern coastal cities, and more influenced by O-3SN in the northern coastal cities. Using multiple linear regression, the contributions of meteorology and emissions to O-3 concentrations were separated. We estimated that meteorological conditions supported a decrease of 2.1 and 2.9 mu g/m(3) in O-3LT concentration in 2015 and 2016, respectively. While meteorological conditions promoted O-3LT concentration increased by 0.3-3.0 mu g/m(3) during 2017-2020. High nitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentrations, decreasing fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentrations, and increasing temperature caused an increase in O-3 concentrations in several coastal cities. We suggest that controlling NO2 and volatile organic compounds (VOCs) emissions in the future is an effective means of reducing O-3 concentrations.

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