4.7 Article

Do households substitute mileage across their cars?

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PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.trd.2023.103914

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Vehicle miles traveled (VMT); Substitution effects; Fuel price elasticity; Gasoline price

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Understanding the driving behavior of multi-car households is crucial for evaluating policies to reduce fuel consumption. The research found that households adjust their driving miles among different cars in response to changes in fuel prices, but there is little overall substitution observed. However, a pronounced substitution towards the most fuel-efficient car occurs when there is a large and sustained increase in gas price.
Understanding the driving behavior of multi-car households is crucial to evaluate the effective-ness of policies aimed at reducing fuel consumption in the passenger car fleet. In this paper, we investigate whether households adjust their vehicle miles traveled (VMT) among their cars in response to changes in fuel prices. We use data from the 2017 National Household Travel Survey (NHTS) on two-car households, where both cars are powered by gasoline, and estimate econo-metric models that distinguish cars based on their fuel economy. Our results show that an increase in per-mile driving cost significantly reduces the demand for driving the same car and increases demand for driving the other car, with little to no evidence of overall substitution at the daily or annual level. However, further investigation using artificial monthly travel diary data revealed a pronounced substitution towards the most fuel-efficient car only when there is a large and sustained increase in gas price.

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