期刊
MONTHLY NOTICES OF THE ROYAL ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY
卷 465, 期 3, 页码 3379-3389出版社
OXFORD UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1093/mnras/stw2908
关键词
methods:numerical; surveys; eclipses; occultations; planets and satellites:detection; binaries:eclipsing
资金
- UK Science and Technology Facilities Council (STFC)
- Isaac Newton Studentship
- Science and Technology Facilities Council [1490409] Funding Source: researchfish
We present a yield simulator to predict the number and characteristics of planets, false positives and false alarms in transit surveys. The simulator is based on a galactic model and the planet occurrence rates measured by the Kepler mission. It takes into account the observation window function and measured noise levels of the investigated survey. Additionally, it includes vetting criteria to identify false positives. We apply this simulator to the Next Generation Transit Survey (NGTS), a wide-field survey designed to detect transiting Neptune-sized exoplanets. We find that red noise is the main limitation of NGTS up to 14 mag, and that its obtained level determines the expected yield. Assuming a red noise level of 1 mmag, the simulation predicts the following for a 4-yr survey: 4 +/- 3 Super-Earths, 19 +/- 5 Small Neptunes, 16 +/- 4 Large Neptunes, 55 +/- 8 Saturn-sized planets and 150 +/- 10 Jupiter-sized planets, along with 4688 +/- 45 eclipsing binaries and 843 +/- 75 background eclipsing binaries. We characterize the properties of these objects to enhance the early identification of false positives and discuss follow-up strategies for transiting candidates.
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