4.5 Article

Chronicles of security risk assessment in process industries: Past, present and future perspectives

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ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2023.105096

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Security risk; Threat; Vulnerability; Security vulnerability assessment; Dynamic security risk

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This article discusses the development of security risk assessment and its applications in physical security over the past 20 years. It outlines the evolution from deterministic risk assessment to probabilistic dynamic risk assessment models and highlights the past, current, and future directions of security risk assessment, emphasizing their strengths, weaknesses, and limitations.
Security incidents around the world causes enormous loss in terms of life, economy, and environment. The 9/11 & PRIME;triggered the serious onset of research initiatives in the field of security with a more specific focus on the protection of high sensitive and hazardous facilities. It is well known that technology is advancing in a very rapid phase, proportionally increasing the security risk of the facilities. Conventional deterministic risk techniques widely found their applications in the earlier stage but owing to the increasing dynamic nature of the security risk, probabilistic dynamic risk assessment models were developed over time. In this article, the authors attempted to present the evolution of security risk concepts, their present status, and their future scope in a precise and consolidated form. The last 20 years of development in the security risk assessment concept involving deterministic and dynamic risk assessment models and applications in security risk assessment relevant to physical security are discussed in this article. The objective of the article is to outline the past, current and future directions of security risk highlighting their strength, weakness and limitations.

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