4.5 Review

Ten best practices for effective phenological research

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The Emergence of eDNA

Lesley Evans Ogden

BIOSCIENCE (2022)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

No evidence for a negative effect of growing season photosynthesis on leaf senescence timing

Xinchen Lu et al.

Summary: The length of the growing season affects the carbon, water, and energy fluxes of terrestrial ecosystems. The start of the growing season has been found to be advanced due to elevated spring temperatures, but the mechanisms controlling the end of the growing season are less understood. Recent studies suggest a link between growing season photosynthesis and the timing of end of season senescence, but this relationship has not been extensively tested in different ecosystems.

GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2022)

Review Ecology

Winters are changing: snow effects on Arctic and alpine tundra ecosystems(1)

Christian Rixen et al.

Summary: Snow plays an important ecological role in cold biomes, affecting ground temperature, light conditions, moisture availability, and plant growth seasons. There is still a lack of comprehensive understanding of how altered snow conditions will impact these ecosystems. Differences in snow study approaches need to be considered when predicting snow dynamics and their impact on future climates.

ARCTIC SCIENCE (2022)

Article Fisheries

A perspective on the ecological and evolutionary consequences of phenological variability in lake ice on north-temperate lakes

Zachary S. Feiner et al.

Summary: Climate change is affecting phenological events in aquatic ecosystems, increasing variability and unpredictability. Understanding the responses of aquatic communities to variable phenology is crucial for conservation and management of resilient aquatic ecosystems.

CANADIAN JOURNAL OF FISHERIES AND AQUATIC SCIENCES (2022)

Article Fisheries

Phenological Variation in Spring Migration Timing of Adult Alewife in Coastal Massachusetts

Rebecca M. Dalton et al.

Summary: The timing of biological events in plants and animals is shifting due to climate change, with anadromous fishes particularly susceptible. Research on adult Alewife migration for spawning in freshwater environments showed varying phenological shifts among different sites, influenced by oceanic and atmospheric drivers and local environmental conditions.

MARINE AND COASTAL FISHERIES (2022)

Article Biology

Science and Management Advancements Made Possible by the USA National Phenology Network's Nature's Notebook Platform

Theresa Crimmins et al.

Summary: The USA National Phenology Network was established in 2007 to standardize phenology monitoring. The network collects, stores, and shares phenology data and information through the Nature's Notebook platform, supporting scientific discovery, decision-making, and phenology research. Participants range from backyard observers to professionals. The network's data set dimensionality is shaped by Nature's Notebook users, which is crucial for future data collection activities.

BIOSCIENCE (2022)

Article Ecology

Variation and correlation in the timing of breeding of North Atlantic seabirds across multiple scales

Katharine Keogan et al.

Summary: This study investigates the shared phenological responses to environmental drivers among different seabird populations. The results show that populations of different species sharing the same breeding site or small-scale breeding region have positively correlated laying dates, suggesting shared phenological responses to the same environmental conditions. However, no positive phenological covariation was found among populations across species at larger spatial scales. The study also highlights the idiosyncratic responses of populations to local environmental conditions.

JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY (2022)

Article Agronomy

Citizen science helps predictions of climate change impact on flowering phenology: A study on Anemone nemorosa

Radoslaw Puchalka et al.

Summary: This study assessed the usefulness of citizen science databases in phenological research on temperate forest understory species. By analyzing photos and predicting future climate, the study found that flowering onset of Anemone nemorosa will occur earlier, but the duration of flowering will not significantly change. The study demonstrated that citizen science databases provide valuable data for developing reliable phenology models.

AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY (2022)

Review Plant Sciences

Macrophenology: insights into the broad-scale patterns, drivers, and consequences of phenology

Amanda S. Gallinat et al.

Summary: Plant phenology research has significantly advanced in recent years, with a focus on macrophenology at global and regional scales. New analytical tools and data sources have allowed for studying patterns and drivers of phenology across different scales. Recent studies have highlighted the impact of phenology on broad scale dynamics, including species interactions, carbon fluxes, and climate.

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Article Biodiversity Conservation

Habitat use as indicator of adaptive capacity to climate change

Claire S. Teitelbaum et al.

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DIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS (2021)

Article Ecology

The PhenObs initiative: A standardised protocol for monitoring phenological responses to climate change using herbaceous plant species in botanical gardens

Birgit Nordt et al.

Summary: Changes in phenology due to climate change have significant implications for ecosystem functioning and biodiversity, especially in herbaceous species. The PhenObs initiative aims to use botanical gardens as a global network for observing plant phenology to better understand and predict the effects of global change on plant species and ecosystem processes.

FUNCTIONAL ECOLOGY (2021)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Climate, urbanization, and species traits interactively drive flowering duration

Daijiang Li et al.

Summary: This study investigates the flowering patterns of 52 plant species using community science photographs and a novel estimation method. It found that warmer areas have longer flowering durations, particularly for summer-blooming species. Higher human population density and annual precipitation are associated with delayed flowering offset and extended flowering duration. Woody perennials are more sensitive to climate and urbanization drivers.

GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2021)

Review Geography, Physical

Land surface phenology as indicator of global terrestrial ecosystem dynamics: A systematic review

Jose A. Caparros-Santiago et al.

Summary: Vegetation phenology serves as a key biological indicator for understanding ecosystem behavior and responses to environmental cues. Research shows a general trend of spring advancing and autumn delaying, although challenges arise from the complex interactions between various climatic and non-climatic factors, making phenology modeling a difficult task.

ISPRS JOURNAL OF PHOTOGRAMMETRY AND REMOTE SENSING (2021)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Monitoring agroecosystem productivity and phenology at a national scale: A metric assessment framework

Dawn M. Browning et al.

Summary: Effective measurement of seasonal variations in production timing and amount is essential for managing agroecosystems in a changing climate. This study compared key productivity metrics across different agricultural systems in the continental U.S., showing stronger correlations in end of season dates compared to start of season dates. Differences in estimates between satellite, ground observation, and cropping systems were observed, affecting production length and productivity assessments.

ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS (2021)

Article Ecology

Strengthening the evidence base for temperature-mediated phenological asynchrony and its impacts

Jelmer M. Samplonius et al.

Summary: Five key criteria have been proposed to demonstrate the negative impacts of temperature-mediated phenological asynchrony on consumers, which are rarely met in current literature. The majority of studies on temperature change, phenological asynchrony, and impacts have been conducted in Europe and North America, with a focus on terrestrial secondary consumers, limiting the generalizability of conclusions on the global risk of climate-mediated trophic asynchrony.

NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION (2021)

Article Ecology

A practical guide to selecting models for exploration, inference, and prediction in ecology

Andrew T. Tredennick et al.

Summary: Selecting among competing statistical models is a core challenge in science. Specifying the purpose of the analysis as data exploration, inference, or prediction can help in identifying an appropriate model selection procedure. Different modeling goals lead to different models selected for different purposes, even with exactly the same data set.

ECOLOGY (2021)

Article Plant Sciences

Comparing fruiting phenology across two historical datasets: Thoreau's observations and herbarium specimens

Tara K. Miller et al.

Summary: The study found strong correlations in fruiting phenology between observations by Henry David Thoreau and data from herbaria, indicating that these two sources capture similar phenological information. However, differences in the timing of first, last, and duration of fruiting suggest that historical datasets collected with different methods may not be directly comparable.

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BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION (2021)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Urbanization imprint on land surface phenology: The urban-rural gradient analysis for Chinese cities

Wenxiao Jia et al.

Summary: Research on 343 Chinese cities showed that increasing urbanization leads to changes in the start and end of the plant growing season, with urban cores experiencing earlier starts and longer growing seasons. Additionally, temperature sensitivity of the start and end of the growing season varies between cities, with northern cities showing higher sensitivity. Urban warming in the future may lead to a decrease in temperature sensitivity across cities, cautioning against overreliance on future phenological projections.

GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2021)

Article Environmental Sciences

Translational Science Education Through Citizen Science

Allison M. Young et al.

Summary: This study showcases the first explicit example of Translational Science Education in the coastal redwood ecosystem of Humboldt County, CA, using iNaturalist to generate species lists through organized BioBlitzes across different urbanization levels. The data demonstrated an urbanization gradient and highlighted the engagement of students and educators throughout the project. Positive human interactions fostered new naturalists to become champions of local biodiversity, with a potential long-term commitment to land stewardship and inspiration for future similar work by scientists and educators.

FRONTIERS IN ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE (2021)

Article Fisheries

Daily Patterns of River Herring (Alosa spp.) Spawning Migrations: Environmental Drivers and Variation among Coastal Streams in Massachusetts

Henry D. Legett et al.

Summary: The timing of life history events in many plants and animals is affected by seasonal environmental fluctuations, with anadromous fishes being particularly sensitive to climate change. Water temperature was found to be the most consistent predictor of river herring migration patterns, while effects of streamflow and lunar phase varied. Vulnerabilities to climate change were identified in more northerly runs due to later migration in warmer water and a narrower temporal window.

TRANSACTIONS OF THE AMERICAN FISHERIES SOCIETY (2021)

Review Ecology

Demographic Consequences of Phenological Shifts in Response to Climate Change

Amy M. Iler et al.

Summary: Climate change affects populations by shifting species' phenologies, which can have positive or negative consequences on vital rates such as survival and reproduction. However, few studies have linked phenological shifts to changes in vital rates known to drive population dynamics.

ANNUAL REVIEW OF ECOLOGY, EVOLUTION, AND SYSTEMATICS, VOL 52, 2021 (2021)

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Inclusion in citizen science: The conundrum of rebranding

Caren B. Cooper et al.

SCIENCE (2021)

Review Development Studies

Meeting volunteer expectations - a review of volunteer motivations in citizen science and best practices for their retention through implementation of functional features in CS tools

Johanna Amalia Robinson et al.

Summary: Citizen Science projects vary greatly in terms of goals, resources, and tools, with volunteer involvement often requiring information and communication technology. To enhance long-term participation and project sustainability, the use of tools with functional features that align with volunteer motivations is essential.

JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT (2021)

Article Ecology

Phenological synchronization of seasonal bird migration with vegetation greenness across dietary guilds

Frank A. La Sorte et al.

Summary: This study investigated the associations of 230 North American migratory bird species across seven dietary guilds with vegetation greenness throughout the full annual cycle. The findings revealed strong evidence of phenological synchronization with vegetation greenness for omnivores, herbivores, herbivore-granivores, and granivores during spring and autumn migration, as well as for insectivores and carnivores migrating across the entire breadth of the continent.

JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY (2021)

Article Ecology

Automated data-intensive forecasting of plant phenology throughout the United States

Shawn D. Taylor et al.

ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS (2020)

Article Biology

Digitization and the Future of Natural History Collections

Brandon P. Hedrick et al.

BIOSCIENCE (2020)

Article Environmental Sciences

Shifts in migration phenology under climate change: temperature vs. abundance effects in birds

Jaroslav Kolecek et al.

CLIMATIC CHANGE (2020)

Article Biochemistry & Molecular Biology

Changing Climate Drives Divergent and Nonlinear Shifts in Flowering Phenology across Elevations

Nicole E. Rafferty et al.

CURRENT BIOLOGY (2020)

Article Ecology

Local climate determines vulnerability to camouflage mismatch in snowshoe hares

Marketa Zimova et al.

GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY (2020)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Urban warming advances spring phenology but reduces the response of phenology to temperature in the conterminous United States

Lin Meng et al.

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2020)

Review Environmental Sciences

A review of vegetation phenological metrics extraction using time-series, multispectral satellite data

Linglin Zeng et al.

REMOTE SENSING OF ENVIRONMENT (2020)

Review Ecology

iEcology: Harnessing Large Online Resources to Generate Ecological Insights

Ivan Jaric et al.

TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION (2020)

Review Environmental Sciences

Disconnects between ecological theory and data in phenological mismatch research

Heather M. Kharouba et al.

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2020)

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Using remote cameras to measure seasonal molts

Marketa Zimova et al.

ECOSPHERE (2020)

Review Plant Sciences

Low-cost observations and experiments return a high value in plant phenology research

Caitlin McDonough MacKenzie et al.

APPLICATIONS IN PLANT SCIENCES (2020)

Article Environmental Sciences

Winter temperatures predominate in spring phenological responses to warming

A. K. Ettinger et al.

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2020)

Article Biology

Lack of phenological shift leads to increased camouflage mismatch in mountain hares

Marketa Zimova et al.

PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES (2020)

Article Ecology

Tropical phenology: Recent advances and perspectives

Shoko Sakai et al.

ECOLOGICAL RESEARCH (2019)

Review Biodiversity Conservation

Plant phenology and global climate change: Current progresses and challenges

Shilong Piao et al.

GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2019)

Article Biology

Urban heat islands advance the timing of reproduction in a social insect

Lacy D. Chick et al.

JOURNAL OF THERMAL BIOLOGY (2019)

Article Plant Sciences

A new method and insights for estimating phenological events from herbarium specimens

Katehn D. Pearson

APPLICATIONS IN PLANT SCIENCES (2019)

Article Plant Sciences

Phenology models using herbarium specimens are only slightly improved by using finer-scale stages of reproduction

Elizabeth R. Ellwood et al.

APPLICATIONS IN PLANT SCIENCES (2019)

Review Fisheries

It's about time: A synthesis of changing phenology in the Gulf of Maine ecosystem

Michelle D. Staudinger et al.

FISHERIES OCEANOGRAPHY (2019)

Review Ecology

Evolutionary and demographic consequences of phenological mismatches

Marcel E. Visser et al.

NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION (2019)

Article Biochemistry & Molecular Biology

Improving big citizen science data: Moving beyond haphazard sampling

Corey T. Callaghan et al.

PLOS BIOLOGY (2019)

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The effect of urbanization on plant phenology depends on regional temperature

Daijiang Li et al.

NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION (2019)

Article Agronomy

Time to branch out? Application of hierarchical survival models in plant phenology

Sarah C. Elmendorf et al.

AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY (2019)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Rapid evolution of phenology during range expansion with recent climate change

Nicky Lustenhouwer et al.

GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2018)

Article Plant Sciences

Widespread sampling biases in herbaria revealed from large-scale digitization

Barnabas H. Daru et al.

NEW PHYTOLOGIST (2018)

Article Ecology

Phenology and time series trends of the dominant seasonal phytoplankton bloom across global scales

Kevin D. Friedland et al.

GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY (2018)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Global shifts in the phenological synchrony of species interactions over recent decades

Heather M. Kharouba et al.

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2018)

Article Environmental Sciences

Land surface phenology: What do we really 'see' from space?

David Helman

SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT (2018)

Article Environmental Sciences

A global synthesis of animal phenological responses to climate change

Jeremy M. Cohen et al.

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2018)

Review Ecology

Climate Change and Phenological Mismatch in Trophic Interactions Among Plants, Insects, and Vertebrates

Susanne S. Renner et al.

ANNUAL REVIEW OF ECOLOGY, EVOLUTION, AND SYSTEMATICS, VOL 49 (2018)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Confounding effects of spatial variation on shifts in phenology

Charlotte W. de Keyzer et al.

GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2017)

Review Ecology

Behavioral flexibility as a mechanism for coping with climate change

Erik A. Beever et al.

FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT (2017)

Review Green & Sustainable Science & Technology

Genomics meets remote sensing in global change studies: monitoring and predicting phenology, evolution and biodiversity

Eri Yamasaki et al.

CURRENT OPINION IN ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY (2017)

Article Ecology

A statistical estimator for determining the limits of contemporary and historic phenology

William D. Pearse et al.

NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION (2017)

Article Fisheries

Evolution of phenology in a salmonid population: a potential adaptive response to climate change

Christopher V. Manhard et al.

CANADIAN JOURNAL OF FISHERIES AND AQUATIC SCIENCES (2017)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Reduced sampling frequency can still detect changes in abundance and phenology of migratory landbirds

Lucas S. Stegman et al.

BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION (2017)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Citizen science can improve conservation science, natural resource management, and environmental protection

Duncan C. McKinley et al.

BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION (2017)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Lessons from citizen science: Assessing volunteer-collected plant phenology data with Mountain Watch

Caitlin McDonough MacKenzie et al.

BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION (2017)

Review Ecology

Using phenocams to monitor our changing Earth: toward a global phenocam network

Tim B. Brown et al.

FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT (2016)

Article Ecology

Assessing data quality in citizen science

Margaret Kosmala et al.

FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT (2016)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Ecological and methodological drivers of species' distribution and phenology responses to climate change

Christopher J. Brown et al.

GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2016)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Projected impacts of 21st century climate change on diapause in Calanus finmarchicus

Robert J. Wilson et al.

GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2016)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Phenological sensitivity to climate across taxa and trophic levels

Stephen J. Thackeray et al.

NATURE (2016)

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Using bioacoustics to examine shifts in songbird phenology

Rachel T. Buxton et al.

ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION (2016)

Article Environmental Sciences

Effects of urbanization on bird phenology: a continental study of paired urban and rural populations

Anders Pape Moller et al.

CLIMATE RESEARCH (2015)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Declining global warming effects on the phenology of spring leaf unfolding

Yongshuo H. Fu et al.

NATURE (2015)

Article Biophysics

Assessing accuracy in citizen science-based plant phenology monitoring

Kerissa K. Fuccillo et al.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY (2015)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Adapting to a Warmer Ocean-Seasonal Shift of Baleen Whale Movements over Three Decades

Christian Ramp et al.

PLOS ONE (2015)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Organizing phenological data resources to inform natural resource conservation

Alyssa H. Rosemartin et al.

BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION (2014)

Article Fisheries

Climate Change, Migration Phenology, and Fisheries Management Interact with Unanticipated Consequences

A. C. Peer et al.

NORTH AMERICAN JOURNAL OF FISHERIES MANAGEMENT (2014)

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Shifts in flowering phenology reshape a subalpine plant community

Paul J. CaraDonna et al.

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2014)

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Comparing carbon flux and high-resolution spring phenological measurements in a northern mixed forest

Mark D. Schwartz et al.

AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY (2013)

Article Biophysics

Weekend bias in Citizen Science data reporting: implications for phenology studies

Jason R. Courter et al.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY (2013)

Article Plant Sciences

Phylogenetic conservatism in plant phenology

T. Jonathan Davies et al.

JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY (2013)

Article Marine & Freshwater Biology

The impact of increasing temperatures on dormancy duration in Calanus finmarchicus

James J. Pierson et al.

JOURNAL OF PLANKTON RESEARCH (2013)

Article Biology

Nonlinear flowering responses to climate: are species approaching their limits of phenological change?

Amy M. Iler et al.

PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES (2013)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Rapid Adaptation to Climate Facilitates Range Expansion of an Invasive Plant

Robert I. Colautti et al.

SCIENCE (2013)

Article Environmental Sciences

Global imprint of climate change on marine life

Elvira S. Poloczanska et al.

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2013)

Article Biophysics

Comparison of regression methods for phenology

Adrian Mark Ikin Roberts

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY (2012)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Extended leaf phenology and the autumn niche in deciduous forest invasions

Jason D. Fridley

NATURE (2012)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Warming experiments underpredict plant phenological responses to climate change

E. M. Wolkovich et al.

NATURE (2012)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Favorable Climate Change Response Explains Non-Native Species' Success in Thoreau's Woods

Charles G. Willis et al.

PLOS ONE (2010)

Article Biology

Forecasting phenology under global warming

Ines Ibanez et al.

PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES (2010)

Review Biology

The effects of phenological mismatches on demography

Abraham J. Miller-Rushing et al.

PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES (2010)

Article Ecology

Featuring 10 phenological estimators using simulated data

Jean-Pierre Moussus et al.

METHODS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION (2010)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Spatial and interspecific variability in phenological responses to warming temperatures

Richard B. Primack et al.

BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION (2009)

Article Information Science & Library Science

The Biodiversity Heritage Library: sharing biodiversity literature with the world

Nancy E. Gwinn et al.

IFLA JOURNAL-INTERNATIONAL FEDERATION OF LIBRARY ASSOCIATIONS (2009)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Bird migration times, climate change, and changing population sizes

Abraham J. Miller-Rushing et al.

GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2008)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Phylogenetic patterns of species loss in Thoreau's woods are driven by climate change

Charles G. Willis et al.

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2008)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Limitations of biodiversity databases:: Case study on seed-plant diversity in Tenerife, Canary Islands

Joaquin Hortal et al.

CONSERVATION BIOLOGY (2007)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Climate change and population declines in a long-distance migratory bird

C Both et al.

NATURE (2006)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Onset of spring starting earlier across the Northern Hemisphere

MD Schwartz et al.

GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY (2006)

Article Biodiversity Conservation

Designing occupancy studies: general advice and allocating survey effort

DI Mackenzie et al.

JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY (2005)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

The footprint of urban climates on vegetation phenology

XY Zhang et al.

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2004)

Article Environmental Sciences

A knowledge-based approach to the statistical mapping of climate

C Daly et al.

CLIMATE RESEARCH (2002)