☆ 4.7 Article

An Approach to Link Climate Model Tropical Cyclogenesis Bias to Large-Scale Wind Circulation Modes

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2023)

相关参考文献

注意：仅列出部分参考文献，下载原文获取全部文献信息。

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

C-POOL: A scheme for modelling convective cold pools in the Met Office Unified Model

Gabriel G. Rooney et al.

Summary: A new parametrization scheme representing the lifecycle and effects of convective cold pools is introduced in this study. The scheme utilizes a column-crossing prognostic model based on approximations from similarity modeling of gravity currents to simulate the initiation, interaction, and decay of cold pools. The prognostic variables are then fed back into the convection parametrization scheme to impact the convective diagnosis, initiation from the boundary layer, parcel ascent, and entrainment. Model tests demonstrate that this scheme improves the representation of the diurnal cycle of tropical rainfall, which was previously known as a weakness of parametrized convection.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2022)

添加到收藏夹

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Roles of interdecadal variability of the western North Pacific monsoon trough in shifting tropical cyclone formation

Xiaofang Feng et al.

Summary: Over the past four decades, the basin-wide mean location of tropical cyclone formation in the western North Pacific has shifted northward, consistent with the northward migration of the annual mean latitude of tropical cyclone lifetime maximum intensity. This shift is mainly attributed to the interdecadal variability of the monsoon trough, particularly related to the Pacific decadal oscillation and the interdecadal Pacific oscillation, as well as the east-west extension of the tropical upper tropospheric trough and the tropical eastern Pacific cold tongue.

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2022)

添加到收藏夹

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Clustering of large-scale circulation patterns during tropical cyclone preformation period using self-organizing maps

Zi-Qing Wang et al.

Summary: Based on self-organizing maps (SOM), clustering analysis was performed on 461 tropical cyclones (TCs) in the western North Pacific from 2000 to 2019. The TCs were classified into five patterns, including convergence, monsoon trough, pre-existing cyclone, subtropical high, and easterly wave patterns. The study found that the characteristics and environmental conditions of TC formation vary among different patterns.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2022)

添加到收藏夹

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Climatology of developing and nondeveloping disturbances for tropical cyclone genesis over the western North Pacific

Yaru Gu et al.

Summary: This study investigates the climate characteristics of tropical disturbances over the western North Pacific from 1965 to 2020. It finds that tropical disturbances play an important role in the formation of tropical cyclones, with about 13.1% of the disturbances developing into cyclones. Developing disturbances tend to be located more to the east and south, while their lifetimes and propagation speeds are similar to nondeveloping disturbances. The number of developing disturbances shows significant interannual and interdecadal variability.

TERRESTRIAL ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCES (2022)

添加到收藏夹

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

A New Approach to Skillful Seasonal Prediction of Southeast Asia Tropical Cyclone Occurrence

Xiangbo Feng et al.

Summary: This study introduces a new statistical approach to predict the occurrence frequency of peak-season tropical cyclones in the South China Sea and east of the Philippines, based on pre-seasonal environmental fields. The identified predictors capture the interannual variability of different types of peak-season tropical cyclones, providing skillful seasonal predictions. The statistical approach is further developed into a hybrid method using predictors derived from dynamical seasonal forecasts, which shows significant skill for both regions. The statistical and hybrid predictions outperform the dynamical predictions, indicating their potential for operational use.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES (2022)

添加到收藏夹

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Intercomparison of four algorithms for detecting tropical cyclones using ERA5

Stella Bourdin et al.

Summary: This study compares four different trackers for detecting and tracking tropical cyclones (TCs) in reanalyses and model simulations. The performance of the trackers is assessed by comparing their results with observations from the IBTrACS database. The study finds that the choice of tracker can significantly impact the climatology obtained, especially in terms of false alarm rates (FARs) and TC frequencies. Filtering methods are proposed to reduce FARs and improve the accuracy of TC tracking. It is recommended to select one or a few trackers with well-known and complementary properties instead of using as many trackers as possible and averaging the results.

GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT (2022)

添加到收藏夹

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Impact of Stochastic Physics and Model Resolution on the Simulation of Tropical Cyclones in Climate GCMs

Pier Luigi Vidale et al.

Summary: The study demonstrates that increasing model resolution and using stochastic physics (SP) play important roles in simulating tropical cyclones, with the combination of both further enhancing TC frequency. SP not only helps reduce systematic climate biases, but also improves the simulation of the seasonal cycle of TC frequency.

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2021)

添加到收藏夹

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Poleward migration of western North Pacific tropical cyclones related to changes in cyclone seasonality

Xiangbo Feng et al.

Summary: Recent decades have seen tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific shifting north, primarily due to changes in cyclone seasonality, specifically driven by fewer late-season storms.

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2021)

添加到收藏夹

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Understanding the development of systematic errors in the Asian summer monsoon

Gill M. Martin et al.

Summary: Despite the importance of monsoon rainfall to over half of the world's population, many climate models of the current generation struggle to capture major features of various monsoon systems. Errors in these models can develop quickly within the first few days and persist to climate timescales, with various modelling techniques and sensitivity experiments needed to understand their sources. Regional modelling and experiments shed light on the development and impact of errors in different monsoon regions.

GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT (2021)

添加到收藏夹

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The ERA5 global reanalysis

Hans Hersbach et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2020)

添加到收藏夹

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones in the Met Office Global Seasonal Forecast System: Performance and ENSO Teleconnections

Xiangbo Feng et al.

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2020)

添加到收藏夹

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Tropical cyclone predictability shaped by western Pacific subtropical high: integration of trans-basin sea surface temperature effects

Chao Wang et al.

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2019)

添加到收藏夹

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The effect of atmosphere-ocean coupling on the prediction of 2016 western North Pacific tropical cyclones

Xiangbo Feng et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2019)

添加到收藏夹

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Modifications to the representation of subgrid mixing in kilometre-scale versions of the Unified Model

Kirsty Hanley et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2019)

添加到收藏夹

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The impact of climate model sea surface temperature biases on tropical cyclone simulations

Wei-Ching Hsu et al.

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2019)

添加到收藏夹

Article Environmental Sciences

Large-scale dynamics of tropical cyclone formation associated with ITCZ breakdown

Quan Wang et al.

ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS (2019)

添加到收藏夹

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Description of the resolution hierarchy of the global coupled HadGEM3-GC3.1 model as used in CMIP6 HighResMIP experiments

Malcolm J. Roberts et al.

GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT (2019)

添加到收藏夹

Article Engineering, Ocean

A Multivariate Empirical Orthogonal Function Method to Construct Nitrate Maps in the Southern Ocean

Yu-Chiao Liang et al.

JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC TECHNOLOGY (2018)

添加到收藏夹

Article Environmental Sciences

Future Changes of the Monsoon Trough: Sensitivity to Sea Surface Temperature Gradient and Implications for Tropical Cyclone Activity

Chao Wang et al.

EARTHS FUTURE (2018)

添加到收藏夹

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Tropical cyclogenesis associated with four types of summer monsoon circulation over the South China Sea

Lei Wang

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2017)

添加到收藏夹

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The East Asian Atmospheric Water Cycle and Monsoon Circulation in the Met Office Unified Model

Jose M. Rodriguez et al.

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES (2017)

添加到收藏夹

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

High Resolution Model Intercomparison Project (HighResMIP v1.0) for CMIP6

Reindert J. Haarsma et al.

GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT (2016)

添加到收藏夹

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Tropical Cyclones in the UPSCALE Ensemble of High-Resolution Global Climate Models

Malcolm J. Roberts et al.

JOURNAL OF CLIMATE (2015)

添加到收藏夹

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Seasonal forecasting of tropical storms using the Met Office GloSea5 seasonal forecast system

J. Camp et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2015)

添加到收藏夹

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The effect of increased convective entrainment on Asian monsoon biases in the MetUM general circulation model

Stephanie J. Bush et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2015)

添加到收藏夹

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Subtropical High predictability establishes a promising way for monsoon and tropical storm predictions

Bin Wang et al.

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2013)

添加到收藏夹

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Comparison of tropical cyclogenesis indices on seasonal to interannual timescales

Christophe E. Menkes et al.

CLIMATE DYNAMICS (2012)

添加到收藏夹

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

Possible Linkage between the Monsoon Trough Variability and the Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Western North Pacific

Liang Wu et al.

MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW (2012)

添加到收藏夹

Article Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences

The local ETKF and SKEB: Upgrades to the MOGREPS short-range ensemble prediction system

Neill E. Bowler et al.

QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2009)

添加到收藏夹

© Peeref 2019-2024. All rights reserved.