A meta-analysis of prognostic factors for early recurrence in perihilar cholangiocarcinoma after curative-intent resection

Background: Perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (pCCA) is a type of cancer that has a high rate of recurrence after curative-intent surgery, with about half of all recurrences occurring within the first year. The primary aim of this study was to identify prognostic factors (PFs) for early recurrence (ER, within 12 months) after surgery. Methods: Systematic searching was conducted from database inception to September 28th, 2022, with duplicate independent review and data extraction. Data on eight predefined PFs were collected, and meta-analysis was performed on PFs for ER, summarized using forest plots. Results: The study enrolled 11 studies comprising 2877 patients. In the risk-of-bias assessment, seven studies were rated as low risk and four as moderate risk. More than 34.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 26.1-42.5%) of the patients experienced ER after curative-intent pCCA resection. Of the PFs, vascular invasion (HR, 2.41; 95% CI, 1.47-3.95; OR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.17-2.18), lymph node metastases (HR, 2.54; 95% CI, 1.92-3.37; OR, 4.26; 95% CI, 2.40-7.57), and R1 resection (HR, 3.27; 95% CI, 1.81-5.92; OR, 2.40; 95% CI, 1.36-4.22) were associated with an increased hazard for ER. The combined OR values also showed that tumor size, poor tumor differentiation, and perineural invasion were linked to an elevated risk of ER, but all of them had apparent heterogeneity. Conclusion: These findings from the review could be used to plan surveillance of ER and guide post-operative individualized management in pCCA. Furthermore, prospective studies are needed to explore more prognostic factors for ER of pCCA.

Automated summary

Prognostic factors for early recurrence after surgery for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma include vascular invasion, lymph node metastases, and R1 resection. Tumor size, poor tumor differentiation, and perineural invasion are also associated with an increased risk of early recurrence.