期刊
APPLIED SPATIAL ANALYSIS AND POLICY
卷 -, 期 -, 页码 -出版社
SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s12061-023-09519-w
关键词
Built environment; Geographically Weighted Negative Binomial Regression; Geographically Weighted Poisson Regression; Child pedestrian; Socioeconomic; Traffic safety
This study investigated the relationship between environmental and socioeconomic factors and motor vehicle collisions involving young pedestrians in Mashhad, Iran. The findings revealed several factors, including population of young people, road area ratio, main road intersection ratio, average maximum speed limit, non-motorized travels, sidewalk area ratio, sidewalk disconnections, number of schools, unemployment ratio, illiteracy rate, and open space ratio, significantly associated with child pedestrian-motor vehicle collisions. However, these associations varied across the study area, suggesting the presence of unknown factors or interactions of known factors.
This study examined the relationship between environmental and socioeconomic factors and the number of motor vehicle collisions involving young pedestrians. The research encompassed urban neighbourhoods as well as an entire metropolitan area and analyzed data from 7,028 motor vehicle collisions that involved pedestrians aged 18 years or younger, occurring between 2015 and 2019 in the city of Mashhad, Iran. Thirteen indices related to socioeconomic and built environmental factors were quantified at the neighbourhood level. To model the relationship between these explanatory factors and the number of collisions investigated, Poisson and negative binomial models were developed using the geographically weighted regression (GWR) technique. The GWR was used to account for the impact of location on the association between explanatory factors and the count of collisions. The study found that the population of young people, road area ratio, main road intersection ratio, average maximum speed limit, non-motorized travels, sidewalk area ratio, sidewalk disconnections, number of schools, unemployment ratio, illiteracy rate, and open space ratio were significantly associated with child pedestrian-motor vehicle collisions. However, these associations were not uniform across the entire study area. It is possible that unknown factors or an unknown interaction of known factors in different parts of the urban area may have influenced the observed associations.
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