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How did COVID-19 affect the labor force participation of older workers in the first year of the pandemic?

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CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1017/S1474747223000045

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COVID-19; labor force participation; older workers; social security

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Using the Current Population Survey, this study examines the transitions of older workers from employment to retirement during the first year of the pandemic. The results show that the probability of leaving employment increased by 6.7 percentage points among workers aged 55 to 79, representing a 43-percent increase over the baseline. Workers without a college degree, Asian-Americans, those with jobs that were not conducive to social distancing, and part-time workers were disproportionately affected. However, there was no immediate retirement boom for full-time workers under the age of 70.
This paper uses the Current Population Survey to study older workers' transitions out of employment and into retirement during the first year of the pandemic. We find that, among workers ages 55 to 79, the likelihood of leaving employment over the course of a year rose by 6.7 percentage points, a 43-percent increase over baseline. Workers without a college degree, Asian-Americans, those whose jobs were not amenable to social distancing, and part-time workers saw disproportionate impacts. In contrast, the likelihood of retiring increased by 1 percentage point, and there was no immediate retirement boom for full-time workers under 70.

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