Persistence in Australian tourism employment industries

There are many studies that have focussed on the different dimensions of employment in several industries during COVID-19. However, the impact of the pandemic on employment in the tourism industries has been underexplored. Moreover, we are not aware of any study that has considered the impact of the pandemic on employment in different sub-sectors within the tourism industries. This paper analyzes the effect of COVID-19 on employment in Australian tourism industries using fractional integration. Using quarterly data (2004-2021) and disaggregating data by sectors, we examine two samples, one ending in December 2019 and the other one in December 2021. The novelty of this study is the consideration of the effect of this pandemic on employment in different sub-sectors that constitute the tourism industry. Our results indicate that the current pandemic has not produced significant changes in the persistence of the series. The only significant changes take place for the retail trade industry that moves from mean reversion to lack of it, and the cafes and restaurants in the opposite direction. One of the implications of the results is that interventions before the pandemic, such as concerted marketing efforts, are useful to reduce the impact of COVID-19 on tourism related industries.

Automated summary

There have been numerous studies focusing on the impact of COVID-19 on employment in various industries, but the effect on employment in the tourism industry has been largely unexplored until now. This study examines the effects of the pandemic on employment in different sub-sectors of the Australian tourism industry using fractional integration. The results suggest that the pandemic has not significantly changed the persistence of employment series, except for the retail trade industry and cafes/restaurants.