期刊
NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR
卷 7, 期 4, 页码 478-479出版社
NATURE PORTFOLIO
DOI: 10.1038/s41562-023-01535-7
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Predicting the future has been a long-standing endeavor of humans. However, a study by Grossmann et al. reveals that social scientists have proven to be quite inept in forecasting societal changes.
Predicting the future is something that humans have tried to do - in various ways - for a very long time. A paper by Grossmann et al. tests the ability of social scientists to predict societal change and finds that they are not particularly good at it.
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