4.6 Article

Natural disasters, resilience-building, and risk: achieving sustainable cities and human settlements

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NATURAL HAZARDS
卷 118, 期 1, 页码 611-640

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SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s11069-023-06021-x

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Disaster risk reduction; Index-making; Natural disasters; Negative binomial regression; Resilience; Sendai framework 2015-30

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Reducing natural disasters and their economic losses is critical for sustainable development. However, there is a lack of comprehensive studies on sustainable cities and human settlements. This research examines the impact of disaster risk and resilience on human loss due to natural disasters in 90 countries from 1995 to 2019. The results show that disaster risk increases human losses, while resilience has a positive impact in developed countries.
Reducing natural disasters and their related economic losses remains critical to achieving sustainable development. However, there is a lack of comprehensive studies that assess sustainable cities and human settlements in efforts to attain sustainable development goal 11.5. Here, the present research explains the effect of disaster risk and disaster resilience on human loss due to natural disasters (deaths, injured, and affected) in 90 countries spanning 1995 to 2019. We develop global risk and resilience indices through IMF index-making steps across 24 high, 24 upper-middle, 30 lower-middle, and 12 low-income countries. The negative binomial regression shows an increase in disaster-related loss to human beings (deaths, injured, and affected) due to disaster risk in all panels. The empirical results reveal a favorable impact of disaster resilience--resilience declines disaster-related losses in developed countries. We observe that focusing on basic infrastructure, economic stability, public awareness, hygiene practices, ICT, and effective institutions leads to disaster resilience, mitigation, and speedy post-disaster recovery. Due to the insignificant impact of resilience in developing countries, high-income countries could provide financial resources, modern and DRR technologies, especially to low-income economies. This study encourages countries to follow seven targets and four dimensions of the Sendai Framework to enhance disaster resilience.

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