Morphological response and tumor shrinkage as predictive factors in metastatic colorectal cancer treated with first-line capecitabine, oxaliplatin, and bevacizumab

BackgroundMorphologic response (MR) is a novel chemotherapeutic efficacy predictor of solid tumors, especially those treated with anti-vascular endothelial growth factor antibodies. Nevertheless, the importance of systemic chemotherapy MR for colorectal liver metastases (CLM) remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate the usefulness of MR as a factor associated with the therapeutic effects of chemotherapy plus bevacizumab for initially unresectable CLM cases.MethodsWe retrospectively evaluated the associations between MR and/or Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST), progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) in patients who received first-line capecitabine, oxaliplatin, and bevacizumab treatment for initially unresectable CLM using multivariate analysis. Patients who showed a complete or partial response based on the RECIST, or an optimal response based on MR, were defined as responders.ResultsNinety-two patients were examined, including 31 (33%) patients who responded optimally. PFS and OS estimates were comparable in MR responders and non-responders (13.6 vs. 11.6 months, p = 0.47; 26.6 vs. 24.6 months, p = 0.21, respectively). RECIST responders showed better PFS and OS than non-responders (14.8 vs. 8.6 months, p < 0.01; 30.7 vs. 17.8 months, p < 0.01, respectively). The median PFS and OS estimates of MR and RECIST responders were better than those of single responders or non-responders (p < 0.01). Histological type and RECIST response were independently associated with PFS and OS.ConclusionMR predicts neither PFS nor OS; nevertheless, it may be useful when combined with the RECIST. The Ethics Committee of The Cancer Institute Hospital of JFCR approved this study in 2017 (No. 2017-GA-1123): retrospectively registered.

Automated summary

This study evaluated the usefulness of morphologic response (MR) as a factor associated with the therapeutic effects of chemotherapy plus bevacizumab for initially unresectable colorectal liver metastases (CLM). The results showed that MR does not predict the efficacy of chemotherapy plus bevacizumab, but it may be useful when combined with the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST).