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The ratio of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte and platelet-to-lymphocyte and association with mortality in community-acquired pneumonia: a derivation-validation cohort study

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SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
DOI: 10.1007/s15010-023-01992-2

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Community-acquired pneumonia; Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; Mortality

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The ratios of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte (NLR), monocyte-to-lymphocyte (MLR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte (PLR) are potential biomarkers for predicting mortality in various diseases. This study aimed to investigate the association between NLR, MLR, PLR, and 90-day mortality in patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), as well as the potential improvement of the prediction rule CURB-65 by adding these biomarkers. The results showed that NLR and PLR were associated with 90-day mortality in CAP, but adding them to CURB-65 did not improve its performance.
RationaleThe ratio of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte (NLR), monocyte-to-lymphocyte (MLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte (PLR) are biomarkers that have shown potential for predicting mortality in several diseases. For patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), the prognostic capabilities of these biomarkers are unknown.ObjectiveInvestigate whether NLR, MLR or PLR were associated with 90-day mortality in CAP. Further, investigate whether the prediction rule CURB-65 could be improved by adding these biomarkers.MethodsA derivation-validation study using a Danish multicentre retrospective cohort as the derivation cohort (N = 831) and a European multicentre prospective cohort as the validation cohort (N = 2463). Associations between biomarkers and mortality were assessed using Cox proportional hazard models with adjustments for sex, CURB-65 and comorbidities. A cut-off value for biomarkers was determined using Youden's J Statistics. The performance of CURB-65 with added biomarkers was evaluated using receiver-operating characteristics.ResultsIn both cohorts increasing NLR and PLR were associated with 90-day mortality. In the derivation cohort, the hazard ratios for NLR and PLR were 1.016 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.001-1.032, P = 0.038) and 1.001 (95% CI 1.000-1.001, P = 0.035), respectively. Adding these biomarkers to CURB-65 did not improve its performance.ConclusionsNLR and PLR were associated with 90-day mortality in CAP, but did not improve CURB-65.

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