Climate change vs energy security? The conditional support for energy sources among Western Europeans

The decarbonisation of Western societies requires a fundamental reorganisation of energy supply and fierce debates around the future energy mix have begun in many countries. However, we still know little about how concerns about energy security affect the public's energy preferences in view of the critique that renewable energies might compromise energy security. This paper argues that there is a perceived trade-off between energy security and climate protection that affects energy supply preferences in Western Europe. Using the European Social Survey's 'Public Attitudes to Climate Change' module, the findings from multilevel regressions demonstrate that there is indeed a perceived trade-off in energy preferences among Western Europeans. People concerned about energy security prefer coal, gas, and nuclear power over renewable energies. People worried about climate change prefer solar and wind energy over nuclear and fossil forms of energy. The analysis further identifies four different groups representing the trade-off between energy security and climate protection among Western Europeans. The paper thus identifies why energy preferences might collide and why some countries observe a polarisation of views around energy supply that policymakers need to address to realise a successful and publicly acceptable transformation of energy supply.

Automated summary

The decarbonisation of Western societies necessitates a reorganization of energy supply and has sparked debates on the future energy mix. However, little is known about how energy security concerns impact public energy preferences, particularly regarding the perceived trade-off between energy security and climate protection. This paper utilizes data from the European Social Survey to demonstrate that Western Europeans perceive a trade-off in energy preferences, with those concerned about energy security favoring coal, gas, and nuclear power while those worried about climate change prefer renewable energy sources. The analysis identifies four distinct groups representing this trade-off and highlights the importance of addressing differing views on energy supply for a successful and widely accepted energy transformation.