Temporary trade barriers and enterprise export market changes: evidence from China

In theory, previous studies believed that the export market of enterprises was homogeneous. There is no difference in each export market, which is obviously inconsistent with the actual trade situation. This paper divides the export market of enterprises into main export market and secondary export market according to the export status, explores the export changes of enterprises to the main export market and secondary export market respectively when the temporary trade barriers of the main export market to the trade exporting country are raised. This paper focuses on the impact of the main export market on the anti-dumping degree, countervailing level and the improvement of trade safeguard measures on the export conversion of enterprises between the main and secondary markets. The research shows that the increase of the anti-dumping degree of the main market against the trade exporting countries will lead to the higher probability of role exchange between the main and secondary markets; The countervailing level of the main market against the trade exporting countries rises, and the export of enterprises is more likely to turn to the secondary market; The greater the trade safeguard measures in the main market, the more likely the secondary market will become the main market.

Automated summary

This paper investigates the export market of enterprises, dividing it into main export market and secondary export market based on export status. It examines the impact of temporary trade barriers in the main export market on the export conversion of enterprises between the main and secondary markets. The research findings indicate that an increase in the anti-dumping degree of the main market results in a higher probability of role exchange between the main and secondary markets; a rise in the countervailing level of the main market leads to a higher likelihood of enterprises shifting their export to the secondary market; and the higher the trade safeguard measures in the main market, the more likely the secondary market will become the main market.