Geopolitical risk and stock market volatility: A global perspective

This paper investigates the relationship between geopolitical risk (GPR) and stock market vola-tility from a global perspective. We use dynamic panel data including 32 countries and regions and the bias-corrected least-squares dummy variable (LSDV) estimator. Empirical results show that GPR has a significant positive effect on stock market volatility, which is not affected by control variables. Moreover, we find that the effect of GPR on stock market volatility is more significant for emerging economies, crude oil exporters, and countries at peace. Our study pro-vides new evidence for the relationship between GPR and stock market volatility.

Automated summary

This paper explores the relationship between geopolitical risk (GPR) and stock market volatility from a global perspective. Using dynamic panel data and the bias-corrected LSDV estimator, the empirical results show that GPR has a significant positive impact on stock market volatility, unaffected by control variables. Additionally, the effect of GPR on stock market volatility is more pronounced for emerging economies, crude oil exporters, and peaceful countries. This study provides new evidence on the relationship between GPR and stock market volatility.