An Artificial Neural Network for Solar Energy Prediction and Control Using Jaya-SMC

In recent years, researchers have focused on improving the efficiency of photovoltaic systems, as they have an extremely low efficiency compared to fossil fuels. An obvious issue associated with photovoltaic systems (PVS) is the interruption of power generation caused by changes in solar radiation and temperature. As a means of improving the energy efficiency performance of such a system, it is necessary to predict the meteorological conditions that affect PV modules. As part of the proposed research, artificial neural networks (ANNs) will be used for the purpose of predicting the PV system's current and voltage by predicting the PV system's operating temperature and radiation, as well as using JAYA-SMC hybrid control in the search for the MPP and duty cycle single-ended primary-inductor converter (SEPIC) that supplies a DC motor. Data sets of size 60538 were used to predict temperature and solar radiation. The data set had been collected from the Department of Systems Engineering and Automation at the Vitoria School of Engineering of the University of the Basque Country. Analyses and numerical simulations showed that the technique was highly effective. In combination with JAYA-SMC hybrid control, the proposed method enabled an accurate estimation of maximum power and robustness with reasonable generality and accuracy (regression (R) = 0.971, mean squared error (MSE) = 0.003). Consequently, this study provides support for energy monitoring and control.

Automated summary

Researchers have focused on improving the efficiency of photovoltaic systems, as they are much less efficient compared to fossil fuels. A major issue with photovoltaic systems (PVS) is power generation interruption due to changes in solar radiation and temperature. To enhance the energy efficiency of these systems, it is necessary to predict the meteorological conditions affecting PV modules. This study proposes the use of artificial neural networks (ANNs) to predict current and voltage in the PV system, by predicting operating temperature and radiation, and employs JAYA-SMC hybrid control to search for the MPP and duty cycle SEPIC. Data sets of 60538 were used to predict temperature and solar radiation accurately.