4.7 Article

Coupled Urban Change and Natural Hazard Consequence Model for Community Resilience Planning

相关参考文献

注意:仅列出部分参考文献,下载原文获取全部文献信息。
Article Engineering, Civil

A spatially explicit decision support framework for parcel- and community-level resilience assessment using Bayesian networks

Dylan Sanderson et al.

Summary: A spatially explicit decision support framework was developed using Bayesian networks to quantify parcel- and community-level resilience against natural hazards. Applying this framework to Seaside, Oregon, the study showed overall low resilience for a 1,000-yr event under status quo conditions, improvement of resilience with mitigation options, and the least resilience to mid-magnitude events.

SUSTAINABLE AND RESILIENT INFRASTRUCTURE (2022)

Article Engineering, Civil

An agent-based financing model for post-earthquake housing recovery: Quantifying recovery inequalities across income groups

Irene Alisjahbana et al.

Summary: This article develops an agent-based financing model for post-earthquake housing recovery, studying inequalities between different economic groups and proposing strategies to reduce these disparities.

EARTHQUAKE SPECTRA (2022)

Article Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications

Agents.jl: a performant and feature-full agent-based modeling software of minimal code complexity

George Datseris et al.

Summary: Agent-based modeling is a simulation method for studying complex systems. Agents.jl is a Julia-based software that provides a simple and efficient platform for analyzing such models.

SIMULATION-TRANSACTIONS OF THE SOCIETY FOR MODELING AND SIMULATION INTERNATIONAL (2022)

Article Environmental Sciences

A Simulation-Based Framework for Earthquake Risk-Informed and People-Centered Decision Making on Future Urban Planning

Gemma Cremen et al.

Summary: Numerous approaches to earthquake risk modeling have been proposed, but most focus on current static exposure and vulnerability, limiting their use in decision-making for future urban landscapes. We present an end-to-end risk modeling framework that addresses this challenge by considering future earthquake risks using a simulation-based approach. The framework also advances the state-of-practice in risk modeling by integrating physical and social impacts and incorporating a participatory approach to decision-making.

EARTHS FUTURE (2022)

Article Environmental Sciences

Modelling and quantifying tomorrow's risks from natural hazards

Gemma Cremen et al.

Summary: Understanding and modelling future risks from natural hazards is crucial. Researchers have developed risk-quantification approaches to help decision makers prepare for tomorrow's disasters. These approaches consider the impacts of climate change on natural hazards, population, and infrastructure.

SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT (2022)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Urban growth modelling and social vulnerability assessment for a hazardous Kathmandu Valley

Carlos Mesta et al.

Summary: This study investigates the evolving spatial interactions between natural hazards, urban development, and social vulnerability in Kathmandu Valley, Nepal. The findings show that the built-up areas in the valley will significantly increase by 2050, with socially vulnerable areas and flood-prone and liquefaction-susceptible zones being particularly affected.

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS (2022)

Article Environmental Sciences

Future Flood Risk Exacerbated by the Dynamic Impacts of Sea Level Rise Along the Northern Gulf of Mexico

M. Bilskie et al.

Summary: This study quantifies the impacts of sea level rise on coastal communities using a high-resolution modeling framework, taking into account future sea levels, landscape change, and urbanization. The results show that the increase in sea level leads to an increase in building damage and displaced populations.

EARTHS FUTURE (2022)

Article Public, Environmental & Occupational Health

Agent-Based Models as an Integrating Boundary Object for Interdisciplinary Research

Allison C. Reilly et al.

Summary: Many complex problems in hazards research require interdisciplinary integration, but lack of common knowledge base often leads to communication barriers and unsuccessful outcomes. A common model or boundary object can enhance communication and participation among researchers from different disciplines, enabling them to work together towards a shared goal. Agent-based models have the necessary characteristics to serve as a boundary object in interdisciplinary projects, providing value and challenges for researchers.

RISK ANALYSIS (2021)

Article Public, Environmental & Occupational Health

Toward Convergence Disaster Research: Building Integrative Theories Using Simulation

Ali Mostafavi et al.

Summary: Simulation methods have the potential to enhance theory-building in convergence disaster research by enabling integration of qualitative and quantitative data, specifying mechanisms affecting disaster phenomena, understanding relationships between factors at different levels, and integrating theoretical elements from various disciplines for a more convergent understanding.

RISK ANALYSIS (2021)

Article Engineering, Civil

Agent-based model for post-earthquake housing recovery

Rodrigo Costa et al.

Summary: A study using an agent-based model framework investigated housing recovery post-earthquake in Vancouver, identifying the density of old and rented buildings, as well as homeowner income and immigration status as predictors of recovery speed. Simulation results showed that retrofitting vulnerable buildings or increasing workforce can effectively reduce housing recovery times.

EARTHQUAKE SPECTRA (2021)

Article Engineering, Civil

Effect of Residential Building Wind Retrofits on Social and Economic Community-Level Resilience Metrics

Wanting (Lisa) Wang et al.

Summary: Tornadoes occur frequently in the United States but have small impacts in terms of geographical footprint; Comprehensive community resilience improvement requires considering interacting physical, social, and economic systems; This study quantitatively examines the effects of tornado retrofit strategies on socioeconomic metrics for the first time.

JOURNAL OF INFRASTRUCTURE SYSTEMS (2021)

Article Engineering, Civil

Exposure forecasting for seismic risk estimation: Application to Costa Rica

Alejandro Calderon et al.

Summary: This study proposes a framework for forecasting the spatial distribution of population and residential buildings for future disaster risk assessment. The results show that although absolute human and economic losses are projected to increase by 2030, the trajectory of relative risk is decreasing, indicating that long-term enforcement of seismic regulations and urban planning effectively reduce seismic risk in Costa Rica.

EARTHQUAKE SPECTRA (2021)

Editorial Material Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Editorial. Risk-based, Pro-poor Urban Design and Planning for Tomorrow's Cities

Carmine Galasso et al.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION (2021)

Article Multidisciplinary Sciences

Unraveling the complexity of human behavior and urbanization on community vulnerability to floods

Mona Hemmati et al.

Summary: This study highlights the importance of human behavior in urbanization and flood-prone area development, emphasizing the need to consider human factors when formulating flood risk reduction policies. When people are informed about flood risk and provided with proper incentives, they are more likely to avoid flood-prone areas. Neighborhood quality has the most significant impact on people's location decisions.

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS (2021)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

What Makes Homeowners Consider Protective Actions to Reduce Disaster Risk? An Application of the Precaution Adoption Process Model and Life Course Theory

Alexia Stock et al.

Summary: The study found that approximately one-third of respondents had never engaged in protective action decisions, life experiences varied in their frequency of occurrence and impact on households' mitigation decisions, and certain events such as renovating, reroofing, or purchasing a home may serve as critical moments to promote greater engagement in mitigation decision making.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK SCIENCE (2021)

Article Environmental Sciences

Shaping urbanization to achieve communities resilient to floods

Mona Hemmati et al.

Summary: The increasing flood risk in urban communities is attributed to climate change and socioeconomic development. It is vital to move towards sustainable cities in response to the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development by the United Nations. Current methods to quantify flood risk often lack consideration of various geographical, social, and economic factors associated with urbanization. Introducing a framework that integrates urban growth models with hazard models can provide insights into flood risk management and aid in the development of sustainable and resilient communities.

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2021)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Deaggregation of multi-hazard damages, losses, risks, and connectivity: an application to the joint seismic-tsunami hazard at Seaside, Oregon

Dylan Sanderson et al.

Summary: This paper introduces a methodology to deaggregate the results of multi-hazard damage analysis by considering both population characteristics and independent hazards. The methodology is applied to a joint seismic-tsunami hazard study, and the deaggregated results provide insights for community resilience planning. By analyzing damages across various dimensions, the methodology allows for a better understanding of risks and vulnerabilities in infrastructure systems.

NATURAL HAZARDS (2021)

Editorial Material Public, Environmental & Occupational Health

Interdisciplinary Theory, Methods, and Approaches for Hazards and Disaster Research: An Introduction to the Special Issue

Lori Peek et al.

Summary: Interdisciplinary research plays a vital role in advancing the field of hazards and disaster research by integrating theories, methods, and approaches to address pressing questions. This article discusses recent advancements in interdisciplinary studies in this field and introduces a special issue of Risk Analysis, featuring original perspective papers highlighting new trends and applications. The special collection is organized around cross-cutting themes to promote interdisciplinarity and provide guidance for researchers and research teams.

RISK ANALYSIS (2021)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

High-resolution flood risk approach to quantify the impact of policy change on flood losses at community-level

Omar M. Nofal et al.

Summary: Communities are changing their flood risk management strategies due to climate change, which increases flood hazard intensity and frequency. A standardized quantitative approach is needed to assess policy feasibility and provide decision support. Community-level mitigation options that consider both flood hazards and exposure are more effective than singular policies for efficient flood protection.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION (2021)

Article Environmental Studies

Infrastructure resilience to navigate increasingly uncertain and complex conditions in the Anthropocene

Mikhail Chester et al.

Summary: Infrastructure are facing three main trends: accelerating human activities, increasing uncertainty in social, technological, and climatological factors, and increasing complexity of the systems themselves and environments in which they operate. Resilience theory can help infrastructure managers navigate this increasing complexity, by considering adaptation and transformation. Additionally, agility and flexibility in physical assets and governance, as well as reorienting sensemaking capabilities, are essential in ensuring core systems keep pace with a changing world.

NPJ URBAN SUSTAINABILITY (2021)

Article Environmental Studies

Urban planning policy must do more to integrate climate change adaptation and mitigation actions

Anna Hurlimann et al.

Summary: The integration and coverage of climate change adaptation and mitigation actions in urban planning policies need to be improved, with limited actions and integration limiting effective responses to climate change in urban planning documents. There is a need for further integration across disciplines and government levels to ensure implementation on decisions about land use and development.

LAND USE POLICY (2021)

Article Demography

Poisson Distribution: A Model for Estimating Households by Household Size

Beth Jarosz

Summary: Household size is linked to infrastructure demand, necessitating detailed data for calibration and future projections. This paper presents a statistical technique using a modified Poisson distribution to estimate and forecast household size distributions, providing demographers with a simple and reliable tool. This method offers advancements in simplifying application and evidence of reliability for estimating household sizes in small geographic areas.

POPULATION RESEARCH AND POLICY REVIEW (2021)

Article Environmental Sciences

The safe development paradox: An agent-based model for flood risk under climate change in the European Union

Toon Haer et al.

GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS (2020)

Article Engineering, Civil

Computational Framework to Support Government Policy-Making for Hurricane Risk Management

Dong Wang et al.

NATURAL HAZARDS REVIEW (2020)

Review Environmental Sciences

The Role of Urban Growth in Resilience of Communities Under Flood Risk

Mona Hemmati et al.

EARTHS FUTURE (2020)

Article Environmental Sciences

An agent-based model for community flood adaptation under uncertain sea-level rise

Yu Han et al.

CLIMATIC CHANGE (2020)

Article Environmental Sciences

Spatio-temporal dynamics in seismic exposure of Asian megacities: past, present and future

Gizem Mestav Sarica et al.

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2020)

Article Engineering, Civil

State of the research in community resilience: progress and challenges

Maria Koliou et al.

SUSTAINABLE AND RESILIENT INFRASTRUCTURE (2020)

Article Environmental Studies

An agent-based modelling approach to housing market regulations and Airbnb-induced tourism

Evgueni Vinogradov et al.

TOURISM MANAGEMENT (2020)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Probabilistic seismic and tsunami damage analysis (PSTDA) of the Cascadia Subduction Zone applied to Seaside, Oregon

Hyoungsu Park et al.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION (2019)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Effects of urban development on future multi-hazard risk: the case of Vancouver, Canada

Stephanie E. Chang et al.

NATURAL HAZARDS (2019)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

An agent-based vertical evacuation model for a near-field tsunami: Choice behavior, logical shelter locations, and life safety

Alireza Mostafizi et al.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION (2019)

Article Construction & Building Technology

Risk-Based Prioritization of a Building Portfolio for Retrofit

Hesam Talebiyan et al.

JOURNAL OF STRUCTURAL ENGINEERING (2018)

Article Construction & Building Technology

Risk-Based Prioritization of a Building Portfolio for Retrofit

Hesam Talebiyan et al.

JOURNAL OF STRUCTURAL ENGINEERING (2018)

Article Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications

Exploring the impacts of climate and policy changes on coastal community resilience: Simulating alternative future scenarios

Alexis K. Mills et al.

ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE (2018)

Article Environmental Sciences

Managed retreat as a response to natural hazard risk

Miyuki Hino et al.

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE (2017)

Article Engineering, Civil

Fifty-Year Resilience Strategies for Coastal Communities at Risk for Tsunamis

Jay Raskin et al.

NATURAL HAZARDS REVIEW (2017)

Article Geosciences, Multidisciplinary

Projecting community changes in hazard exposure to support long-term risk reduction: A case study of tsunami hazards in the US Pacific Northwest

Benjamin M. Sleeter et al.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION (2017)

Article Social Sciences, Interdisciplinary

An Agent-Based Model of Flood Risk and Insurance

Jan Dubbelboer et al.

JASSS-THE JOURNAL OF ARTIFICIAL SOCIETIES AND SOCIAL SIMULATION (2017)

Review Environmental Sciences

The role of nature-based infrastructure (NBI) in coastal resiliency planning: A literature review

Firas Saleh et al.

JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT (2016)

Article Transportation Science & Technology

An agent-based model of a multimodal near-field tsunami evacuation: Decision-making and life safety

Haizhong Wang et al.

TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART C-EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES (2016)

Article Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications

Empirical agent-based land market: Integrating adaptive economic behavior in urban land-use models

Tatiana Filatova

COMPUTERS ENVIRONMENT AND URBAN SYSTEMS (2015)

Article Ecology

Examining fire-prone forest landscapes as coupled human and natural systems

Thomas A. Spies et al.

ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY (2014)

Review Environmental Studies

A review of urban residential choice models using agent-based modeling

Qingxu Huang et al.

ENVIRONMENT AND PLANNING B-PLANNING & DESIGN (2014)

Article Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications

Land market mechanisms for preservation of space for coastal ecosystems: An agent-based analysis

Tatiana Filatova et al.

ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE (2011)

Article Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications

An economic agent-based model of coupled housing and land markets (CHALMS)

Nicholas Magliocca et al.

COMPUTERS ENVIRONMENT AND URBAN SYSTEMS (2011)

Article Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications

A conceptual design for a bilateral agent-based land market with heterogeneous economic agents

Dawn Cassandra Parker et al.

COMPUTERS ENVIRONMENT AND URBAN SYSTEMS (2008)

Article Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications

Modeling biocomplexity - actors, landscapes and alternative futures

John P. Bolte et al.

ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE (2007)

Article Regional & Urban Planning

UrbanSim - Modeling urban development for land use, transportation, and environmental planning

P Waddell

JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN PLANNING ASSOCIATION (2002)