Can Hydrological Models Benefit From Using Global Soil Moisture, Evapotranspiration, and Runoff Products as Calibration Targets?

Hydrological models are usually calibrated to in-situ streamflow observations with reasonably long and uninterrupted records. This is challenging for poorly gage or ungaged basins where such information is not available. Even for gaged basins, the single-objective calibration to gaged streamflow cannot guarantee reliable forecasts because, as has been documented elsewhere, the inverse problem is mathematically ill-posed. Therefore, the inclusion of other observations, and the reproduction of other hydrological variables beyond streamflow, become critical components of accurate hydrological forecasting. In this study, six single- and multi-objective model calibration schemes based on different combinations of gaged streamflow, global-scale gridded soil moisture, actual evapotranspiration (ET), and runoff products are used for the calibration of a process-based hydrological model for 20 catchments located within the Lake Michigan watershed, of the Laurentian Great Lakes. Results show that the addition of gridded soil moisture to gaged streamflow in model calibration improves the ET simulation performance for most of the catchments, leading to the overall best-performing models. The monthly streamflow simulation performance for the experiments using gridded runoff products to inform the model is outperformed by those using the gaged streamflow, but the discrepancy is mitigated with increasing catchment scale. A new visualization method that effectively synthesizes model performance for the simulations of streamflow, soil moisture, and ET was also proposed. Based on the method, it is revealed that the streamflow simulation performance is relatively weak for baseflow-dominated catchments; overall, the 20 catchment models simulate streamflow and ET better than soil moisture.

Automated summary

This study uses six different single- and multi-objective model calibration schemes based on different combinations of observed data, such as gaged streamflow, global-scale gridded soil moisture, actual evapotranspiration (ET), and runoff products for the calibration of a process-based hydrological model for 20 catchments in the Lake Michigan watershed. The results show that including gridded soil moisture in the model calibration improves the performance of ET simulation for most catchments, leading to the overall best-performing models. The monthly streamflow simulation performance using gridded runoff products is outperformed by gaged streamflow, but the discrepancy is reduced with increasing catchment scale. A new visualization method synthesizing model performance for streamflow, soil moisture, and ET simulations is proposed.