4.4 Article

Progressive system safety and reliability analysis: A sustainable game theory approach

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出版社

WILEY
DOI: 10.1002/qre.3247

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decision-making; fault tree; non-cooperative; risk assessment; system safety; zero-sum game

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This research aims to study the applicability of game theory to system safety and reliability decision-making problems and corresponding objective conflicts using non-cooperative games. The non-cooperative games consider non-cooperative cognitive decision-makers behaviors, which are commonly ignored by other system safety and reliability analysis techniques assuming perfect cooperation. Game theory can recognize and understand the decision-makers' behaviors and provide a win-win situation for all players and the best system outcomes.
This research aims to study the applicability of game theory to system safety and reliability decision-making problems and corresponding objective conflicts using non-cooperative games. The non-cooperative games would solve the games considering non-cooperative cognitive decision-makers behaviors, which are commonly ignored by other system safety and reliability analysis (SSRA) techniques, assuming that there would be perfect cooperation between the players (decision-makers). Game theory can also recognize and understand the decision-makers' behaviors and provide a win-win situation for all players and the best broader system outcomes. The paper also shows the use of dynamic game theory in system safety and reliability decision-making problems over time. The results indicate the effectiveness and efficiency of game theory and show how this can better reflect decision-makers' opinions in system safety and reliability decision-making problems.

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