4.8 Article

Identifying potential breakthrough research: A machine learning method using scientific papers and Twitter data

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Summary: Breakthrough research is essential for scientific advancement, and the identification of scientific breakthroughs holds extreme importance. The study suggests that scientific breakthroughs exhibit distinctive knowledge structure characteristics, which can be used to predict breakthroughs in their early stages. Factors such as direct citation counts, disciplinary differences in knowledge structure, the prominence of breakthrough characteristics in the first layer of citing networks, and the critical timing of citing networks all play a role in the effectiveness of predictive models.

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