CT-based radiomic nomogram for preoperative prediction of DNA mismatch repair deficiency in gastric cancer

BackgroundDNA mismatch repair (MMR) deficiency has attracted considerable attention as a predictor of the immunotherapy efficacy of solid tumors, including gastric cancer. We aimed to develop and validate a computed tomography (CT)-based radiomic nomogram for the preoperative prediction of MMR deficiency in gastric cancer (GC). MethodsIn this retrospective analysis, 225 and 91 GC patients from two distinct hospital cohorts were included. Cohort 1 was randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 176) and an internal validation cohort (n = 76), whereas cohort 2 was considered an external validation cohort. Based on repeatable radiomic features, a radiomic signature was constructed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis. We employed multivariable logistic regression analysis to build a radiomics-based model based on radiomic features and preoperative clinical characteristics. Furthermore, this prediction model was presented as a radiomic nomogram, which was evaluated in the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts. ResultsThe radiomic signature composed of 15 robust features showed a significant association with MMR protein status in the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts (both P-values <0.001). A radiomic nomogram incorporating a radiomic signature and two clinical characteristics (age and CT-reported N stage) represented good discrimination in the training cohort with an AUC of 0.902 (95% CI: 0.853-0.951), in the internal validation cohort with an AUC of 0.972 (95% CI: 0.945-1.000) and in the external validation cohort with an AUC of 0.891 (95% CI: 0.825-0.958). ConclusionThe CT-based radiomic nomogram showed good performance for preoperative prediction of MMR protein status in GC. Furthermore, this model was a noninvasive tool to predict MMR protein status and guide neoadjuvant therapy.

Automated summary

The study developed a CT-based radiomic nomogram for accurately predicting MMR protein status in gastric cancer preoperatively. The model showed good performance in validation across multiple independent cohorts.