4.5 Article

A Hybrid Algorithm for Short-Term Wind Power Prediction

期刊

ENERGIES
卷 15, 期 19, 页码 -

出版社

MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/en15197314

关键词

shuffled frog leaping algorithm (SFLA); back propagation neural network (BPNN); root mean square propagation (RMSProp); artificial neural network (ANN); wind power forecasting; short term predict

资金

  1. Natural Science Foundation of Guangxi Province OF FUNDER [2020GXNSFAA159090]

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In this paper, a hybrid algorithm based on gradient descent and meta-heuristic optimization is proposed to enhance the accuracy of wind power prediction and reduce computational burden. The experimental results demonstrate that the hybrid algorithm outperforms the traditional Back Propagation (BP) algorithm in terms of accuracy, stability, and efficiency.
Accurate and effective wind power prediction plays an important role in wind power generation, distribution, and management. Inthis paper, a hybrid algorithm based on gradient descent and meta-heuristic optimization is designed to improve the accuracy of prediction and reduce the computational burden. The hybrid algorithm includes three steps: in the first step, we use the gradient descent algorithm to get the initial parameters. Secondly, we input the initial parameters into the meta-heuristic optimization algorithm to search for the best parameters (high-quality inferior solutions). Finally, we input optimized parameters into the RMSProp optimization algorithm and conduct gradient descent again to find a better solution. We used 2021 wind power data from Guangxi, China for the experiment. The results show that the hybrid prediction algorithm has better performance than the traditional Back Propagation (BP) in accuracy, stability, and efficiency.

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