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Article
Ecology
Jeroen C. J. M. van den Bergh
Summary: The essay suggests that governments should go beyond the GDP indicator to achieve environmental and social goals, by institutionalizing a beyond-GDP metric and possibly establishing a permanent UN panel to explore and prepare a global implementation. It also provides criteria and guidelines, focusing on four key dimensions, to ensure the smooth acceptance of the selected beyond-GDP metric in society, media, and politics. The current environmental and inequality crises present an opportune time to transition from theoretical thinking to practical action in promoting alternative metrics.
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
(2022)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Roger Pielke et al.
Summary: Emissions scenarios used by the IPCC play a central role in climate change research and policy. A subset of plausible scenarios projected 2-3 degrees C of warming by 2100, indicating that the world is currently on a lower emissions trajectory than expected. However, these scenarios also suggest that the world is still off track from limiting 21st-century warming to 1.5 degrees C or below 2 degrees C.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2022)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Frances C. Moore et al.
Summary: The ambition and effectiveness of climate policies play a crucial role in determining greenhouse gas emissions and the scale of climate change impacts. However, most climate change models treat the socio-politico-technical processes that determine climate policy and emissions trajectories as external factors. This study identifies relevant feedback processes and connects them in a stylized model of the climate-social system. The analysis of the model reveals potential nonlinearities and tipping points in the connections across different scales, which can significantly influence policy and emissions outcomes. Public perceptions of climate change, the future cost and effectiveness of mitigation technologies, and the responsiveness of political institutions emerge as important factors in explaining variations in emissions pathways and constraints on warming.
Article
Environmental Studies
William F. Lamb et al.
Summary: While global greenhouse gas emissions are still increasing, some countries have successfully achieved sustained reductions in their emissions, primarily in the energy sector. Though the total reductions of these countries are insignificant compared to global emissions growth, their experiences demonstrate the possibility of significant emissions reductions even with moderate climate action, while maintaining sustainable economic growth.
Article
Environmental Sciences
Theo Konc et al.
Summary: This article presents a model for studying the dynamics of public support for climate policies, and analyzes the comparison and influencing factors of two policy instruments. The results indicate that social influence, opinion stability, and income inequality are crucial for public support of climate policies.
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
(2022)
Letter
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Lewis King et al.
Article
Economics
Anne Berner et al.
Summary: Increasing energy efficiency is considered an important way to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, but it often leads to rebound effects and reduces potential energy savings. Existing empirical research on the economy-wide rebound effect considering dynamic economic responses to energy efficiency improvements is limited. Using a Structural Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive model, this study finds economy-wide rebound effects of 78% to 101% after two years in France, Germany, Italy, the UK, and the US, suggesting that energy efficiency innovations alone may have limited impact on future energy use reduction, highlighting the importance of directly addressing carbon emissions.
Article
Business
Jim Skea et al.
Summary: This paper compares recent global energy scenarios developed by governments, international bodies, businesses and the scientific community, finding sharp divergences between outlooks and normative scenarios compatible with the Paris Agreement on climate change. All published outlooks imply that the world is not on an energy pathway compatible with the Paris Agreement. Furthermore, the assessment of emerging themes suggests that more dialogue between scenario developers from the scientific community and those working in governments and commercial organisations could be beneficial.
TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE
(2021)
Article
Economics
Jeroen van den Bergh et al.
Summary: There is a debate over the effectiveness of carbon pricing, with one recent study suggesting it has no impact on low-carbon innovation and deep decarbonization. However, a closer evaluation of the study and additional literature indicates that carbon pricing does have a small but positive effect on low-carbon innovation. This evaluation also highlights the need for a systematic and objective review of research in this area.
ENVIRONMENTAL & RESOURCE ECONOMICS
(2021)
Review
Environmental Studies
Simon Robertson
Summary: The lack of transparency in Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) has been a long-standing concern for approximately two decades, impacting credibility of modeling results and policy recommendations. Despite the availability of a database supporting a special report, the omission of critical model input data and accompanying documentation fails to ensure reproducibility and transparency.
WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-CLIMATE CHANGE
(2021)
Article
Ecology
Lukas Hardt et al.
Summary: This article discusses the importance of shifting towards a post-growth economy to avoid environmental catastrophe, and emphasizes the need for significant structural changes in the economy with different goals and strategies for various economic sectors. The authors present a novel analysis framework that classifies economic sectors based on similar structural change goals along three dimensions, providing empirical evidence and deriving structural change goals for different sector groups.
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Jiesper Strandsbjerg Tristan Pedersen et al.
Summary: Emissions scenarios are crucial for assessing future climate change and response strategies, and their relevance needs regular reassessment. Historical trends in CO2 emissions are consistent with medium scenarios and serve as valid inputs for climate change analyses. Global CO2 emissions are closely linked to primary energy and GDP, generally following a medium-high pathway.
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
(2021)
Review
Environmental Sciences
I Keppo et al.
Summary: Integrated assessment models (IAMs) are key tools for climate mitigation scenarios, but face critiques on method adequacy and result communication. Despite conceptual diversity, IAMs are often criticized collectively. Six main critiques include representation of actors, technology diffusion modeling, capital markets representation, energy-economy feedbacks, policy scenarios, and interpretation and use of model results.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2021)
Editorial Material
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Yang Ou et al.
Review
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Hanna Fekete et al.
Summary: This article reviews climate change mitigation policies in China, the European Union, India, Japan, and the United States, focusing on their historical performance and target goals in various sectors. While most countries have successful policies in renewable energy, fuel efficiency, electrification of passenger vehicles, and forestry, there are still areas with limited information or comprehensive policies, such as buildings and agriculture. The study suggests that transformative policies are needed to achieve global emissions reductions in line with the goals of the Paris Agreement.
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS
(2021)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Sara Maestre-Andres et al.
Summary: This study shows that spending all carbon tax revenues on climate projects, instead of mixing them, is the most acceptable policy. Providing information about the functioning of carbon taxation can increase acceptability for a carbon tax with unspecified revenues. Policy acceptability is more strongly related to perceived fairness than to perceived effectiveness.
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
(2021)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Julianne DeAngelo et al.
Summary: Despite global efforts to achieve net-zero CO2 emissions, the tradeoffs in energy systems to reach this goal have not been thoroughly studied. Research shows that renewable energy sources play a significant role in achieving net-zero emissions, but solid, liquid, and gaseous fuels still remain prevalent in scenarios even at net-zero. Additionally, the distribution of residual emissions and offsetting negative emissions across world regions may have important implications for negotiations and equity.
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
(2021)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Heleen L. van Soest et al.
Summary: Closing the emissions gap between NDCs and global emissions levels to achieve the Paris Agreement's climate goals requires comprehensive policy measures. Success stories in one country cannot be automatically replicated in others, and need to be adapted to the local context. The Bridge scenario developed here aims to close two-thirds of the emissions gap by 2030 through globally rolled out short-term measures, leading to a pathway aligned with the 2 degrees C goal when combined with long-term changes.
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
(2021)
Editorial Material
Environmental Sciences
Daniel J. A. Johansson
Summary: Most emissions scenarios aligned with the Paris Agreement predict significant net-negative CO2 emissions in the second half of this century, a trend that is further expanded upon in a new set of scenarios.
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
(2021)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Keywan Riahi et al.
Summary: Current emissions scenarios show overshooting of the temperature goals set in the Paris Agreement, relying on future net negative emissions. Limiting overshoot would require upfront investments but bring long-term economic benefits. However, criticism is directed at these scenarios for featuring strategies with pronounced overshoot, requiring a long-term repair phase through net-negative emissions to bring temperatures back down.
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
(2021)
Review
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Paul E. Brockway et al.
Summary: The majority of global energy scenarios anticipate a structural shift in the relationship between energy consumption and GDP, but current trends are in the opposite direction. Economy-wide rebound effects from improved energy efficiency may erode more than half of the expected energy savings, with many mechanisms driving these effects overlooked by models.
RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS
(2021)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Lorenz T. Keysser et al.
Summary: The study indicates that degrowth scenarios minimize many key risks for feasibility and sustainability compared to technology-driven pathways, but substantial challenges remain regarding political feasibility. Nevertheless, degrowth pathways should be thoroughly considered.
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
(2021)
Review
Ecology
Christine Corlet Walker et al.
Summary: Welfare systems in OECD countries are facing challenges such as rising inequality, demographic changes, and environmental crises. Economic growth is no longer seen as a sustainable solution, leading to the need to consider how welfare systems can cope without economic growth. Five interconnected dilemmas for post-growth welfare systems are identified, including funding, rising costs, dependencies, resource management, and political barriers. Further research is needed to understand the dynamics of post-growth welfare systems and to explore new models of welfare provision.
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
(2021)
Article
Energy & Fuels
Jason Hickel et al.
Summary: Post-growth approaches may offer an easier path to achieving rapid mitigation and improving social outcomes compared to traditional growth-based scenarios. Climate modellers should explore these alternatives to traditional economic growth assumptions.
Article
Environmental Studies
J. van den Bergh et al.
Summary: This study evaluates the impact of interactions between different climate policy instruments on overall emissions reduction, finding negative, zero or positive synergies. By formulating climate policy packages, negative effects are avoided and positive synergies are utilized. It is highlighted that alignment and harmonization of national policies in the international climate policy context may be essential for a politically feasible path to achieve global emission targets. The most promising packages involve combining innovation support and information provision with either a carbon tax and adoption subsidy, or with a carbon market.
Article
Business
Theo Konc et al.
Summary: This study examines the effectiveness of environmental policy in the presence of social influence on consumers, finding a social multiplier effect influenced by four factors. In a case study on climate change, the social multiplier is 1.30, allowing for a 38% reduction in effective tax.
JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT
(2021)
Article
Psychology, Multidisciplinary
Mario Gollwitzer et al.
Summary: The study revealed that in a large German sample, the length of lockdown had a greater impact on public reactions, with half of the respondents rejecting further extensions or intensifications of the measures. 20% of the respondents would endorse long-term strategies if necessary.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PSYCHOLOGY
(2021)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Mark Roelfsema et al.
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
(2020)
Review
Environmental Studies
Michael Jakob et al.
WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-CLIMATE CHANGE
(2020)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Joel Millward-Hopkins et al.
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
(2020)
Editorial Material
Environmental Sciences
Sam Hinsley
LANCET PLANETARY HEALTH
(2020)
Article
Economics
Ivan Savin et al.
STRUCTURAL CHANGE AND ECONOMIC DYNAMICS
(2020)
Article
Environmental Studies
Jeroen C. J. M. van den Bergh et al.
Review
Environmental Studies
Steve Sorrell et al.
ENERGY RESEARCH & SOCIAL SCIENCE
(2020)
Article
Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Simone D'Alessandro et al.
NATURE SUSTAINABILITY
(2020)
Article
Ecology
Stefan Drews et al.
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
(2019)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Corinne Le Quere et al.
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
(2019)
Article
Energy & Fuels
Nicole J. van den Berg et al.
ENERGY STRATEGY REVIEWS
(2019)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Nadiia Charkovska et al.
MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE
(2019)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Elmar Kriegler et al.
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
(2018)
Article
Multidisciplinary Sciences
P. Christensen et al.
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
(2018)
Editorial Material
Environmental Sciences
Felix Creutzig et al.
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
(2018)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Detlef P. van Vuuren et al.
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
(2018)
Article
Environmental Sciences
Miklos Antal
ANTHROPOCENE REVIEW
(2018)
Review
Environmental Sciences
Jeroen C. J. M. van den Bergh
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
(2017)
Article
Ecology
Stefan Drews et al.
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
(2016)
Article
Economics
David Klenert et al.
Review
Economics
Frederick van der Ploeg et al.
REVIEW OF ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS AND POLICY
(2015)
Article
Economics
William Nordhaus
AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW
(2015)
Article
Economics
Martin L. Weitzman
JOURNAL OF THE ASSOCIATION OF ENVIRONMENTAL AND RESOURCE ECONOMISTS
(2014)
Article
Economics
RG Newell et al.
JOURNAL OF REGULATORY ECONOMICS
(2003)
