Bloodstream Infections Caused by Carbapenem-Resistant Pathogens in Intensive Care Units: Risk Factors Analysis and Proposal of a Prognostic Score

Considering the growing prevalence of carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative bacteria (CR-GNB) bloodstream infection (BSI) in intensive care units (ICUs), the identification of specific risk factors and the development of a predictive model allowing for the early identification of patients at risk for CR-Klebsiella pneumoniae, Acinetobacter baumannii or Pseudomonas aeruginosa are essential. In this retrospective case-control study including all consecutive patients showing an episode of BSI in the ICUs of a university hospital in Italy in the period January-December 2016, patients with blood culture positive for CR-GNB pathogens and for any other bacteria were compared. A total of 106 patients and 158 episodes of BSI were identified. CR-GNBs induced BSI in 49 patients (46%) and 58 episodes (37%). Prognosis score and disease severity at admission, parenteral nutrition, cardiovascular surgery prior to admission to ICU, the presence of sepsis and septic shock, ventilation-associated pneumonia and colonization of the urinary or intestinal tract were statistically significant in the univariate analysis. The duration of ventilation and mortality at 28 days were significantly higher among CR-GNB cases. The prognostic model based on age, presence of sepsis, previous cardiovascular surgery, SAPS II, rectal colonization and invasive respiratory infection from the same pathogen showed a C-index of 89.6%. The identified risk factors are in line with the international literature. The proposal prognostic model seems easy to use and shows excellent performance but requires further studies to be validated.

Automated summary

Considering the increasing prevalence of carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative bacteria bloodstream infection in ICUs, it is crucial to identify specific risk factors and develop a predictive model for early identification. This retrospective case-control study found several significant risk factors and proposed a prognostic model based on age, sepsis, previous cardiovascular surgery, SAPS II score, rectal colonization, and invasive respiratory infection.