Capabilities of hepatitis B surface antigen are divergent from hepatitis B virus DNA in delimiting natural history phases of chronic hepatitis B virus infection

ObjectiveQuantitative hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA in the natural history of chronic HBV infection have not been rationally evaluated. This study aimed to re-characterize quantitative HBsAg and HBV DNA in the natural history phases. MethodsA total of 595 and 651 hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive patients and 485 and 705 HBeAg-negative patients were assigned to the early and late cohorts, respectively. Based on the 'S-shape' receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, the HBeAg-positive sub-cohorts with possibly high HBV replication (PHVR) and possibly low HBV replication (PLVR) and the HBeAg-negative sub-cohorts with possibly high HBsAg expression (PHSE) and possibly low HBsAg expression (PLSE) were designated. ResultsThe areas under the ROC curve (AUCs) of HBsAg and HBV DNA in predicting HBeAg-positive significant hepatitis activity (SHA) in the early cohort, sub-cohort with PHVR, and sub-cohort with PLVR were 0.655 and 0.541, 0.720 and 0.606, and 0.553 and 0.725, respectively; those in the late cohort, sub-cohort with PHVR, and sub-cohort with PLVR were 0.646 and 0.501, 0.798 and 0.622, and 0.603 and 0.674, respectively. The AUCs of HBsAg and HBV DNA in predicting HBeAg-negative SHA in the early cohort, sub-cohort with PHSE, and sub-cohort with PLSE were 0.508 and 0.745, 0.573 and 0.780, and 0.577 and 0.729, respectively; those in the late cohort, sub-cohort with PHSE, and sub-cohort with PLSE were 0.503 and 0.761, 0.560 and 0.814, and 0.544 and 0.722, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of HBsAg <= 4.602 log(10) IU/ml in predicting HBeAg-positive SHA in the early cohort were 82.6% and 45.8%, respectively; those in the late cohort were 87.0% and 44.1%, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of HBV DNA >3.301 log(10) IU/ml in predicting HBeAg-negative SHA in the early cohort were 73.4% and 60.8%, respectively; those in the late cohort were 73.6% and 64.1%, respectively. ConclusionQuantitative HBsAg and HBV DNA are valuable, but their capabilities are divergent in delimiting the natural history phases.

Automated summary

This study re-characterized the quantitative levels of HBsAg and HBV DNA in the natural history phases of chronic HBV infection. The results showed that HBsAg and HBV DNA had divergent abilities in predicting significant hepatitis activity in both HBeAg-positive and HBeAg-negative patients.