期刊
APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL
卷 12, 期 14, 页码 -出版社
MDPI
DOI: 10.3390/app12146908
关键词
KRLS technique; power generation uncertainty; PV and wind power prediction; prediction accuracy; regression models; renewable energy; wireless sensor network
类别
资金
- Institute for Information communications Technology Promotion (IITP) - Korean government (MSIT) [2020-0-00440]
- Korea Institute of Energy Technology Evaluation and Planning (KETEP)
- Ministry of Trade, Industry AMP
- Energy (MOTIE) of the Republic of Korea [20192010107290]
- Korea Evaluation Institute of Industrial Technology (KEIT) [20192010107290] Funding Source: Korea Institute of Science & Technology Information (KISTI), National Science & Technology Information Service (NTIS)
Photovoltaic and wind energy are considered eco-friendly renewable energy resources. This study proposes the use of the KRLS algorithm for predicting PV and wind energy production and evaluates its performance against other regression approaches. The study also introduces a link scheduling technique for efficient data transmission. The results show that the KRLS algorithm outperforms other methods in terms of forecasting accuracy, and the proposed link scheduling approach improves latency and resource utilization.
Photovoltaic (PV) and wind energy are widely considered eco-friendly renewable energy resources. However, due to the unpredictable oscillations in solar and wind power production, efficient management to meet load demands is often hard to achieve. As a result, precise forecasting of PV and wind energy production is critical for grid managers to limit the impact of random fluctuations. In this study, the kernel recursive least-squares (KRLS) algorithm is proposed for the prediction of PV and wind energy. The wireless sensor network (WSN) typically adopted for data collection with a flexible configuration of sensor nodes is used to transport PV and wind production data to the monitoring center. For efficient transmission of the data production, a link scheduling technique based on sensor node attributes is proposed. Different statistical and machine learning (ML) techniques are examined with respect to the proposed KRLS algorithm for performance analysis. The comparison results show that the KRLS algorithm surpasses all other regression approaches. For both PV and wind power feed-in forecasts, the proposed KRLS algorithm demonstrates high forecasting accuracy. In addition, the link scheduling proposed for the transmission of data for the management of distributed renewable energy resources is compared with a reference technique to show its comparable performance. The efficacy of the proposed KRLS model is better than other regression models in all assessment events in terms of an RMSE value of 0.0146, MAE value of 0.00021, and R-2 of 99.7% for PV power, and RMSE value of 0.0421, MAE value of 0.0018, and R-2 of 88.17% for wind power. In addition to this, the proposed link scheduling approach results in 22% lower latency and 38% higher resource utilization through the efficient scheduling of time slots.
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